Bitcoin and the South Sea Company: A comparative Analysis
This paper examines historical Bitcoin price data together with the price data of a well-known and generally accepted historical asset price bubble (the 1720 South Sea Bubble) with the aim of identifying possible similarities. In order to find empirical evidence of speculative bubble tendencies, the...
| Autores: | , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2021 |
| País: | México |
| Institución: | Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro |
| Repositorio: | Redalyc-UAQ |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:redalyc.org:323568444009 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=323568444009 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3235/323568444009/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3235/323568444009/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3235/323568444009/323568444009.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3235/323568444009/movil |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Economía y Finanzas Bitcoin cryptocurrency financial risk financial bubble autoregressive model |
| Sumario: | This paper examines historical Bitcoin price data together with the price data of a well-known and generally accepted historical asset price bubble (the 1720 South Sea Bubble) with the aim of identifying possible similarities. In order to find empirical evidence of speculative bubble tendencies, the article analyses distribution moments and autoregressive models of time series of both assets. Results show that historical daily prices of both assets-taking into account one year before and one year after the maximum price level-clearly show the two phases of bubble expansion and subsequent crash. Furthermore, various similarities between the South Sea Bubble and Bitcoin can be found in descriptive statistics, such as mean of return, standard deviation, and skewness. Statistical tests also show several explosive moments in the time series of the South Sea Company and Bitcoin returns, which implies that both assets exhibit more than one financial bubble.JEL Classification: G01, G12, C58 |
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