Fiscal sustainability and dollarization: the case of Ecuador

This article tries to disentangle the dynamic relationships between fiscal variables and economic activity in a small emerging economy characterized by full dollarization, namely, Ecuador. We find that fiscal policy in Ecuador seems to be sustainable, explained by its policy of debt payment through...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Marí del Cristo, María Lorena, Gómez-Puig, Marta
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2016
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/106564
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/106564
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Política fiscal
Harmonització fiscal
Indústria petroliera
Producte interior brut
Equador
Fiscal policy
Tax harmonization
Petroleum industry and trade
Gross domestic product
Ecuador
Descripción
Sumario:This article tries to disentangle the dynamic relationships between fiscal variables and economic activity in a small emerging economy characterized by full dollarization, namely, Ecuador. We find that fiscal policy in Ecuador seems to be sustainable, explained by its policy of debt payment through oil revenues, rather than by a fiscal discipline that dollarization is supposed to encourage. The non-oil tax revenues variable is a purely adjusting variable. This result suggests that in a dollarized country that cannot benefit from the 'seignorage' revenues, the reliance on volatile oil revenues and on smoothing tax revenues leaves the economy's fiscal sustainability vulnerable.