Default prediction of Spanish companies. A logistic analysis

In the field of credit risk management, the calculation of the probability of default of companies plays a key role. For that reason, bankruptcy prediction of companies has generated extensive research in the past decades. This paper applies one of the most popular techniques, the logistic regressio...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Bartual Sanfeliu, Concepción, García García, Fernando, Guijarro, Francisco|||0000-0002-8803-5165, Moya Clemente, Ismael|||0000-0002-1219-1890
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2013
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
Repositorio:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/61268
Acceso en línea:https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/61268
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Logit model
Risk management
Bankruptcy prediction.
ECONOMIA, SOCIOLOGIA Y POLITICA AGRARIA
ECONOMIA FINANCIERA Y CONTABILIDAD
Descripción
Sumario:In the field of credit risk management, the calculation of the probability of default of companies plays a key role. For that reason, bankruptcy prediction of companies has generated extensive research in the past decades. This paper applies one of the most popular techniques, the logistic regression. This technique is extensively used both by professionals and academics and is employed in many studies as a benchmark. Here we will apply it on a vast data base of the Spanish companies and a statistical analysis of the robustness of the model will be undertaken, with very satisfactory results.