Keynes´s Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling: a Popperian Reconstruction

We review Keynes´s attempt to deal with the `problem of induction´ since his Treatise on Probability and then argue that Popper´s `solution´ to the former, known as Popper´s evolutionary of knowledge and learning, is compatible with Keynes´s adoption of a conventional theory of knowledge in his late...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Palacio Vera, Alfonso, Ayala García, Iván
Tipo de recurso: informe técnico
Fecha de publicación:2015
País:España
Institución:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/27536
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/27536
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:A12
B41
E03
E12
Popper
Keynes
Rationality Principle
Macro-models
Induction
Principio de racionalidad
Modelos macroeconómicos e inducción
Macroeconomía
Teorías económicas
5307.14 Teoría Macroeconómica
5307 Teoría Económica
Descripción
Sumario:We review Keynes´s attempt to deal with the `problem of induction´ since his Treatise on Probability and then argue that Popper´s `solution´ to the former, known as Popper´s evolutionary of knowledge and learning, is compatible with Keynes´s adoption of a conventional theory of knowledge in his later economic writings. We also argue that Keynes´s macro-theory as it appears in both his General Theory and his 1937 QJE paper can be (re)interpreted as an instance of a reformulated version of the `subjectivist´ version of Popper´s `Rationality Principle´ (RPs) according to which agents´ behaviour is appropriate or adequate to the problem-situation as the theorist believes that agents believe the former is. A number of further results follow from the previous arguments.