The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018)
The objective of this article is to investigate the variation of fertility across Spain’s geographic areas between 1981 and 2018, to highlight spatial change over three decades of major fertility transformations. During the last decades, Spanish fertility decreased considerably to below replacement...
| Autores: | , , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2021 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universidad de Alcalá (UAH) |
| Repositorio: | e_Buah Biblioteca Digital Universidad de Alcalá |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ebuah.uah.es:10017/49198 |
| Acceso en línea: | http://hdl.handle.net/10017/49198 https://dx.doi.org/10.38191/iirr-jorr.21.015 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Fertility Time series Spain Spatial demography Subnational fertility Fecundidad Series de tiempo España Demografía espacial Fecundidad infraprovincial Economía Geofrafía Sociología Economics Geography Sociology |
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España |
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| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018) La cambiante geografía de la fecundidad en España (1981-2018) |
| title |
The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018) |
| spellingShingle |
The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018) Carioli, Alessandra Fertility Time series Spain Spatial demography Subnational fertility Fecundidad Series de tiempo España Demografía espacial Fecundidad infraprovincial Economía Geofrafía Sociología Economics Geography Sociology |
| title_short |
The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018) |
| title_full |
The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018) |
| title_fullStr |
The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018) |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018) |
| title_sort |
The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018) |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Carioli, Alessandra Recaño, Joaquín Devolder, Daniel |
| author |
Carioli, Alessandra |
| author_facet |
Carioli, Alessandra Recaño, Joaquín Devolder, Daniel |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Recaño, Joaquín Devolder, Daniel |
| author2_role |
author author |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Fertility Time series Spain Spatial demography Subnational fertility Fecundidad Series de tiempo España Demografía espacial Fecundidad infraprovincial Economía Geofrafía Sociología Economics Geography Sociology |
| topic |
Fertility Time series Spain Spatial demography Subnational fertility Fecundidad Series de tiempo España Demografía espacial Fecundidad infraprovincial Economía Geofrafía Sociología Economics Geography Sociology |
| description |
The objective of this article is to investigate the variation of fertility across Spain’s geographic areas between 1981 and 2018, to highlight spatial change over three decades of major fertility transformations. During the last decades, Spanish fertility decreased considerably to below replacement levels. Although total fertility remains below replacement level in Spain, there are important differences in subnational trends that seem to concentrate around certain areas. Starting from the assumption that there is fertility diversity across the country, which persists over time and such variation is not random but rather spatially driven, we aim to describe the divergence from national trends and analyse the dynamics of spatial patterns of fertility over time with spatial analysis tools. Using from Spanish municipality data, we use 910 territorial units that ensure spatial contiguity and construct yearly fertility indicators derived from census and register data, encompassing fertility by age, birth order, and age at childbirth. We investigate the spatial patterns of fertility and their changes over time, by means of spatial and correlogram analysis, exploring the effects of neighborhood definitions. Results confirm the presence of spatial autocorrelation for all variables throughout the considered timeframe, both at global and local scale. The considered time frame depicts substantial changes in the distribution of low and high fertility clusters, reshaping the geographical distribution of fertility in Spain, with big metropolitan areas as leaders in high fertility, as childbearing is deeply impacted by labor market covariates. The fertility decline in Spain has driven total fertility to below replacement levels in a short period of time, shifting the classical North-South divide of low-high fertility into an East-West clustering, with economic centres such as cities becoming the new focal points of higher fertility. The descriptive and econometric spatial approaches adopted in this article, together with the detailed data available for this study, make it possible to appreciate the scale of fertility changes across the country, its heterogeneity across regions, and the evolution of fertility determinants over time. |
| publishDate |
2021 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021 2021-01-01 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
journal article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 NA http://purl.org/coar/version/c_be7fb7dd8ff6fe43 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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article |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10017/49198 https://dx.doi.org/10.38191/iirr-jorr.21.015 |
| url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10017/49198 https://dx.doi.org/10.38191/iirr-jorr.21.015 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
Inglés eng |
| language_invalid_str_mv |
Inglés |
| language |
eng |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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openAccess |
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application/pdf |
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional (AECR) |
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Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional (AECR) |
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reponame:e_Buah Biblioteca Digital Universidad de Alcalá instname:Universidad de Alcalá (UAH) |
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Universidad de Alcalá (UAH) |
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e_Buah Biblioteca Digital Universidad de Alcalá |
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e_Buah Biblioteca Digital Universidad de Alcalá |
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1869425401347964928 |
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The changing geographies of fertility in Spain (1981-2018)La cambiante geografía de la fecundidad en España (1981-2018)Carioli, AlessandraRecaño, JoaquínDevolder, DanielFertilityTime seriesSpainSpatial demographySubnational fertilityFecundidadSeries de tiempoEspañaDemografía espacialFecundidad infraprovincialEconomíaGeofrafíaSociologíaEconomicsGeographySociologyThe objective of this article is to investigate the variation of fertility across Spain’s geographic areas between 1981 and 2018, to highlight spatial change over three decades of major fertility transformations. During the last decades, Spanish fertility decreased considerably to below replacement levels. Although total fertility remains below replacement level in Spain, there are important differences in subnational trends that seem to concentrate around certain areas. Starting from the assumption that there is fertility diversity across the country, which persists over time and such variation is not random but rather spatially driven, we aim to describe the divergence from national trends and analyse the dynamics of spatial patterns of fertility over time with spatial analysis tools. Using from Spanish municipality data, we use 910 territorial units that ensure spatial contiguity and construct yearly fertility indicators derived from census and register data, encompassing fertility by age, birth order, and age at childbirth. We investigate the spatial patterns of fertility and their changes over time, by means of spatial and correlogram analysis, exploring the effects of neighborhood definitions. Results confirm the presence of spatial autocorrelation for all variables throughout the considered timeframe, both at global and local scale. The considered time frame depicts substantial changes in the distribution of low and high fertility clusters, reshaping the geographical distribution of fertility in Spain, with big metropolitan areas as leaders in high fertility, as childbearing is deeply impacted by labor market covariates. The fertility decline in Spain has driven total fertility to below replacement levels in a short period of time, shifting the classical North-South divide of low-high fertility into an East-West clustering, with economic centres such as cities becoming the new focal points of higher fertility. The descriptive and econometric spatial approaches adopted in this article, together with the detailed data available for this study, make it possible to appreciate the scale of fertility changes across the country, its heterogeneity across regions, and the evolution of fertility determinants over time.El objetivo de este artículo es investigar la variación de la fecundidad en las áreas geográficas infra-provinciales de España entre 1981 y 2018, resaltando el importante cambio espacial que acompañan casi cuatro décadas de transformaciones de la fecundidad. Durante las últimas décadas, la fecundidad española descendió considerablemente hasta situarse por debajo de los niveles de reemplazo. No obstante, existen importantes diferencias geográficas que parecen concentrarse en determinadas áreas del territorio. Partiendo del supuesto preliminar de que existe diversidad de la fecundidad en todo el país, que persiste a lo largo del tiempo y que dicha variación no es aleatoria, sino que está correlacionada espacialmente, nuestro objetivo es analizar la dinámica de los patrones espaciales de fecundidad a lo largo del tiempo con las herramientas propias de la econometría espacial. A partir de los datos de base de los municipios españoles, hemos construido 910 unidades territoriales como agrupaciones de municipios que garantizan la contigüidad espacial y la significación estadística. Con esa información estimamos indicadores de fecundidad anuales de intensidad y calendario derivados de los datos de censos, padrones y del movimiento natural de la población, que abarcan la fecundidad por edad, orden de nacimiento y edad al momento del parto entre 1981 y 2018. Investigamos posteriormente los patrones espaciales de fecundidad y sus cambios en el tiempo, mediante el análisis espacial y la elaboración de correlogramas, explorando los efectos de las definiciones de vecindario. Los resultados confirman la presencia de autocorrelación espacial para todas las variables empleadas en el análisis a lo largo del período considerado, tanto a escala global como local. El marco temporal considerado muestra cambios sustanciales en la distribución de los conglomerados de baja y alta fecundidad, remodelando la histórica distribución geográfica de la fecundidad en España, con las grandes áreas metropolitanas como líderes actuales de una mayor fecundidad, ya que la maternidad se ve profundamente afectada por las covariables del mercado laboral. La disminución de la fecundidad en España ha llevado a la fecundidad total a niveles por debajo de los niveles de reemplazo en un corto período de tiempo, cambiando la división clásica Norte-Sur de fecundidad baja-alta hacia un agrupamiento Este-Oeste, con los centros económicos urbanos que se erigen como los nuevos puntos de mayor fecundidad. Los enfoques espaciales descriptivos y econométricos adoptados en este artículo, junto con los datos geográficos detallados disponibles para este estudio, permiten apreciar la escala de cambios de la fecundidad en todo el país, su heterogeneidad entre regiones y la evolución de los determinantes contextuales de la fecundidad a lo largo de los últimos 40 años.Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional (AECR)20212021-01-01journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501NAhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_be7fb7dd8ff6fe43info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10017/49198https://dx.doi.org/10.38191/iirr-jorr.21.015reponame:e_Buah Biblioteca Digital Universidad de Alcaláinstname:Universidad de Alcalá (UAH)Inglésengopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:ebuah.uah.es:10017/491982026-06-18T11:13:07Z |
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15,300719 |