Nearly unbiased estimation of autoregressive models for bounded near‐integrated stochastic processes

The paper investigates the estimation bias of autoregressive models for bounded near‐integrated stochastic processes and the performance of the standard procedures in the literature that aim to correct the estimation bias. In some cases, the bounded nature of the stochastic processes worsens the est...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Carrión i Silvestre, Josep Lluís, Gadea Rivas, María Dolores, Montañés, Antonio
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/173440
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/173440
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Econometria
Anàlisi de regressió
Anàlisi estocàstica
Mètode de Montecarlo
Econometrics
Regression analysis
Analyse stochastique
Monte Carlo method
Descripción
Sumario:The paper investigates the estimation bias of autoregressive models for bounded near‐integrated stochastic processes and the performance of the standard procedures in the literature that aim to correct the estimation bias. In some cases, the bounded nature of the stochastic processes worsens the estimation bias effect. The paper extends two popular autoregressive estimation bias correction procedures to cover bounded stochastic processes. Monte Carlo simulations reveal that accounting for the bounded nature of the stochastic processes leads to improvements in the estimation of autoregressive models. Finally, an illustration is given using the unemployment rate of the G7 countries.