An empirical comparison of machine learning techniques for dam behaviour modelling
Predictive models are essential in dam safety assessment. Both deterministic and statistical models applied in the day-to-day practice have demonstrated to be useful, although they show relevant limitations at the same time. On another note, powerful learning algorithms have been developed in the fi...
| Autores: | , , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2015 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) |
| Repositorio: | UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/76195 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/2117/76195 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2015.05.001 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Dam safety Neural networks (Computer science) Machine learning Dam monitoring Boosted regression trees Neural networks Random forests MARS Support vector machines Leakage flow Preses (Enginyeria) -- Mesures de seguretat Aprenentatge automàtic Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Intel·ligència artificial::Aprenentatge automàtic Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Embassaments i preses |
| Sumario: | Predictive models are essential in dam safety assessment. Both deterministic and statistical models applied in the day-to-day practice have demonstrated to be useful, although they show relevant limitations at the same time. On another note, powerful learning algorithms have been developed in the field of machine learning (ML), which have been applied to solve practical problems. The work aims at testing the prediction capability of some state-of-the-art algorithms to model dam behaviour, in terms of displacements and leakage. Models based on random forests (RF), boosted regression trees (BRT), neural networks (NN), support vector machines (SVM) and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) are fitted to predict 14 target variables. Prediction accuracy is compared with the conventional statistical model, which shows poorer performance on average. BRT models stand out as the most accurate overall, followed by NN and RF. It was also verified that the model fit can be improved by removing the records of the first years of dam functioning from the training set. |
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