Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods

Landslides are events that cause great impact in different parts of the world. Their destructive capacity generates loss of life and considerable economic damage. In this research, several Machine Learning (ML) methods were explored to select the most important conditioning factors, in order to eval...

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Autores: Bravo-López, Esteban, Fernández-del-Castillo, Tomás, Sellers, Chester, Delgado-García, Jorge
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Jaén
Repositorio:RUJA. Repositorio Institucional de la Producción Científica de la Universidad de Jaén
OAI Identifier:oai:ruja.ujaen.es:10953/2386
Acceso en línea:https://doi.org/10.3390/land12061135
https://hdl.handle.net/10953/2386
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Cuenca, Ecuador
Machine learning
Feature selection
Random forests
Extreme gradient boosting
Landslides
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spelling Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning MethodsBravo-López, EstebanFernández-del-Castillo, TomásSellers, ChesterDelgado-García, JorgeCuenca, EcuadorMachine learningFeature selectionRandom forestsExtreme gradient boostingLandslidesLandslides are events that cause great impact in different parts of the world. Their destructive capacity generates loss of life and considerable economic damage. In this research, several Machine Learning (ML) methods were explored to select the most important conditioning factors, in order to evaluate the susceptibility to rotational landslides in a sector surrounding the city of Cuenca (Ecuador) and with them to elaborate landslide susceptibility maps (LSM) by means of ML. The methods implemented to analyze the importance of the conditioning factors checked for multicollinearity (correlation analysis and VIF), and, with an ML-based approach called feature selection, the most important factors were determined based on Classification and Regression Trees (CART), Feature Selection with Random Forests (FS RF), and Boruta and Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) algorithms. LSMs were implemented with Random Forests (RF) and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) methods considering a landslide inventory updated to 2019 and 15 available conditioning factors (topographic (10), land cover (3), hydrological (1), and geological (1)), from which, based on the results of the aforementioned analyses, the six most important were chosen. The LSM were elaborated considering all available factors and the six most important ones, with the previously mentioned ML methods, and were compared with the result generated by an Artificial Neural Network with resilient backpropagation (ANN rprop-) with six conditioning factors. The results obtained were validated by means of AUC-ROC value and showed a good predictive capacity for all cases, highlighting those obtained with XGBoost, which, in addition to a high AUC value (>0.84), obtained a good degree of coincidence of landslides at high and very high susceptibility levels (>72%). Despite the findings of this research, it is necessary to study in depth the methods applied for the development of future research that will contribute to developing a preventive approach in the study areaMDPI202420242023info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.3390/land12061135https://hdl.handle.net/10953/2386reponame:RUJA. Repositorio Institucional de la Producción Científica de la Universidad de Jaéninstname:Universidad de JaénInglésLandCC0 1.0 Universalhttp://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:ruja.ujaen.es:10953/23862026-06-24T12:41:07Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods
title Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods
spellingShingle Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods
Bravo-López, Esteban
Cuenca, Ecuador
Machine learning
Feature selection
Random forests
Extreme gradient boosting
Landslides
title_short Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods
title_full Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods
title_fullStr Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods
title_sort Analysis of Conditioning Factors in Cuenca, Ecuador, for Landslide Susceptibility Maps Generation Employing Machine Learning Methods
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Bravo-López, Esteban
Fernández-del-Castillo, Tomás
Sellers, Chester
Delgado-García, Jorge
author Bravo-López, Esteban
author_facet Bravo-López, Esteban
Fernández-del-Castillo, Tomás
Sellers, Chester
Delgado-García, Jorge
author_role author
author2 Fernández-del-Castillo, Tomás
Sellers, Chester
Delgado-García, Jorge
author2_role author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Cuenca, Ecuador
Machine learning
Feature selection
Random forests
Extreme gradient boosting
Landslides
topic Cuenca, Ecuador
Machine learning
Feature selection
Random forests
Extreme gradient boosting
Landslides
description Landslides are events that cause great impact in different parts of the world. Their destructive capacity generates loss of life and considerable economic damage. In this research, several Machine Learning (ML) methods were explored to select the most important conditioning factors, in order to evaluate the susceptibility to rotational landslides in a sector surrounding the city of Cuenca (Ecuador) and with them to elaborate landslide susceptibility maps (LSM) by means of ML. The methods implemented to analyze the importance of the conditioning factors checked for multicollinearity (correlation analysis and VIF), and, with an ML-based approach called feature selection, the most important factors were determined based on Classification and Regression Trees (CART), Feature Selection with Random Forests (FS RF), and Boruta and Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) algorithms. LSMs were implemented with Random Forests (RF) and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) methods considering a landslide inventory updated to 2019 and 15 available conditioning factors (topographic (10), land cover (3), hydrological (1), and geological (1)), from which, based on the results of the aforementioned analyses, the six most important were chosen. The LSM were elaborated considering all available factors and the six most important ones, with the previously mentioned ML methods, and were compared with the result generated by an Artificial Neural Network with resilient backpropagation (ANN rprop-) with six conditioning factors. The results obtained were validated by means of AUC-ROC value and showed a good predictive capacity for all cases, highlighting those obtained with XGBoost, which, in addition to a high AUC value (>0.84), obtained a good degree of coincidence of landslides at high and very high susceptibility levels (>72%). Despite the findings of this research, it is necessary to study in depth the methods applied for the development of future research that will contribute to developing a preventive approach in the study area
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023
2024
2024
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dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.3390/land12061135
https://hdl.handle.net/10953/2386
url https://doi.org/10.3390/land12061135
https://hdl.handle.net/10953/2386
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Land
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC0 1.0 Universal
http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv CC0 1.0 Universal
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
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dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:RUJA. Repositorio Institucional de la Producción Científica de la Universidad de Jaén
instname:Universidad de Jaén
instname_str Universidad de Jaén
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collection RUJA. Repositorio Institucional de la Producción Científica de la Universidad de Jaén
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