Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions

In this research, we investigated individual differences in the formation and persistence of causal illusions. In a re-analysis of existing data, we identified two clusters of participants – persistent and adjusting – based on their trajectories in learning from repeated exposure to null contingenci...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: García-Arch, Josué, Rodríguez-Ferreiro, Javier, Barberia, Itxaso
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/220522
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/220522
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Diferències individuals
Causalitat
Individual differences
Causation
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spelling Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusionsGarcía-Arch, JosuéRodríguez-Ferreiro, JavierBarberia, ItxasoDiferències individualsCausalitatIndividual differencesCausationIn this research, we investigated individual differences in the formation and persistence of causal illusions. In a re-analysis of existing data, we identified two clusters of participants – persistent and adjusting – based on their trajectories in learning from repeated exposure to null contingencies. The persistent cluster maintained stable causal illusions, while the adjusting cluster demonstrated a reduction over time. This re-analysis provided a nuanced understanding of individual differences in causal learning, emphasizing the differential role of probability estimations in predicting causal judgements. These findings were replicated in a subsequent study, highlighting the robustness of the identified effects. In a pre-registered study, we extended the paradigm to include a second phase (active phase) to assess how individual differences in causal illusion trajectories in the passive phase would manifest when participants had agency in the information gathering process. The results were consistent with those of the two previous studies and confirmed our primary hypothesis that the adjusting cluster would exhibit a lower tendency to introduce the candidate cause on learning trials, and would, therefore, observe a higher frequency of cause–absent trials. Together, these studies provide comprehensive insights into the underpinnings of causal illusion development and persistence, potentially informing de-biasing interventions.Wiley2025202520252025info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion18 p.application/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2445/220522Articles publicats en revistes (Cognició, Desenvolupament i Psicologia de l'Educació)reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunyainstname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)InglésReproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1111/bjop.12754British Journal of Psychology, 2025, vol. 116, num.2, p. 336-353https://doi.org/10.1111/bjop.12754cc by (c) García-Arch, Josué et al., 2025https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:recercat.cat:2445/2205222026-05-29T05:05:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions
title Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions
spellingShingle Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions
García-Arch, Josué
Diferències individuals
Causalitat
Individual differences
Causation
title_short Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions
title_full Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions
title_fullStr Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions
title_full_unstemmed Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions
title_sort Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv García-Arch, Josué
Rodríguez-Ferreiro, Javier
Barberia, Itxaso
author García-Arch, Josué
author_facet García-Arch, Josué
Rodríguez-Ferreiro, Javier
Barberia, Itxaso
author_role author
author2 Rodríguez-Ferreiro, Javier
Barberia, Itxaso
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Diferències individuals
Causalitat
Individual differences
Causation
topic Diferències individuals
Causalitat
Individual differences
Causation
description In this research, we investigated individual differences in the formation and persistence of causal illusions. In a re-analysis of existing data, we identified two clusters of participants – persistent and adjusting – based on their trajectories in learning from repeated exposure to null contingencies. The persistent cluster maintained stable causal illusions, while the adjusting cluster demonstrated a reduction over time. This re-analysis provided a nuanced understanding of individual differences in causal learning, emphasizing the differential role of probability estimations in predicting causal judgements. These findings were replicated in a subsequent study, highlighting the robustness of the identified effects. In a pre-registered study, we extended the paradigm to include a second phase (active phase) to assess how individual differences in causal illusion trajectories in the passive phase would manifest when participants had agency in the information gathering process. The results were consistent with those of the two previous studies and confirmed our primary hypothesis that the adjusting cluster would exhibit a lower tendency to introduce the candidate cause on learning trials, and would, therefore, observe a higher frequency of cause–absent trials. Together, these studies provide comprehensive insights into the underpinnings of causal illusion development and persistence, potentially informing de-biasing interventions.
publishDate 2025
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025
2025
2025
2025
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/2445/220522
url https://hdl.handle.net/2445/220522
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1111/bjop.12754
British Journal of Psychology, 2025, vol. 116, num.2, p. 336-353
https://doi.org/10.1111/bjop.12754
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv cc by (c) García-Arch, Josué et al., 2025
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv cc by (c) García-Arch, Josué et al., 2025
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv 18 p.
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Articles publicats en revistes (Cognició, Desenvolupament i Psicologia de l'Educació)
reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
instname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
instname_str Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
reponame_str Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
collection Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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