Electricity Market Price Forecasting Based on Weighted Nearest Neighbors Techniques

This paper presents a simple technique to forecast next-day electricity market prices based on the weighted nearest neighbors methodology. First, it is explained how the relevant parameters defining the adopted model are obtained. Such parameters have to do with the window length of the time series...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Troncoso Lora, Alicia, Riquelme Santos, Jesús Manuel, Gómez Expósito, Antonio, Martínez Ramos, José Luis, Riquelme Santos, José Cristóbal
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión enviada para evaluación y publicación
Fecha de publicación:2007
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Sevilla (US)
Repositorio:idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
OAI Identifier:oai:idus.us.es:11441/96562
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/11441/96562
https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2007.901670
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Electricity Market Price
Weighted Nearest Neighbors Techniques
Descripción
Sumario:This paper presents a simple technique to forecast next-day electricity market prices based on the weighted nearest neighbors methodology. First, it is explained how the relevant parameters defining the adopted model are obtained. Such parameters have to do with the window length of the time series and with the number of neighbors chosen for the prediction. Then, results corresponding to the Spanish electricity market during 2002 are presented and discussed. Finally, the performance of the proposed method is compared with that of recently published techniques.