Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches

This is the accepted version of the following article: Sanuy, M, Jiménez, JA, Ortego, MI, Toimil, A. Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches. J Flood Risk Management. 2020; 13 (Suppl. 1):e12557. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.125...

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Autores: Sanuy Vázquez, Marc|||0000-0003-2711-5409, Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684, Ortego Martínez, María Isabel|||0000-0001-9437-9354, Toimil Silva, Alexandra
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/174296
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/174296
https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12557
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Floods--Spain
EU Floods Directive
Hazard indicators
Inundation maps
Overtopping discharge
Run-up
Total water level
Uncertainty
Inundacions -- Espanya
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
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spelling Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approachesSanuy Vázquez, Marc|||0000-0003-2711-5409Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684Ortego Martínez, María Isabel|||0000-0001-9437-9354Toimil Silva, AlexandraFloods--SpainEU Floods DirectiveHazard indicatorsInundation mapsOvertopping dischargeRun-upTotal water levelUncertaintyInundacions -- EspanyaÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costesThis is the accepted version of the following article: Sanuy, M, Jiménez, JA, Ortego, MI, Toimil, A. Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches. J Flood Risk Management. 2020; 13 (Suppl. 1):e12557. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12557, which has been published in final form at https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jfr3.12557.Coastal flood risk assessment requires a reliable estimation of the frequency of inundation hazards, that is, characterising the hazard magnitude and assigning a probability of occurrence. In this work we analyse the uncertainty introduced in the assessment associated to the method to assign the probability of occurrence to coastal flood hazards. To this end we have compared the use of two general methods, the response and the event approaches. Different procedures are used to characterise coastal inundation hazards depending on the analysis scale and data availability. Thus, a range of possibilities has been analysed, from simple estimators such as run-up to modelled flood-prone areas. The analysis has been performed for all wave and water level conditions around the Spanish coast. The results show that the differences between the methods are location-dependent, and thus, determined by the exposure to wave and water level conditions. When using the event approach, the run-up or total water level (with good correlation between waves and surge) distributions reasonably approximate those of the response approach with low associated uncertainty. When the assessment aims to output overtopping discharges or inundation maps, observed differences suggest that the event approach would produce misleading conclusions in inundation-related coastal management and decision-making.Peer Reviewed20202020-01-0120202020-01-07journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501AMhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aainfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2117/174296https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12557reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCinstname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)InglésengAgencia Estatal de Investigación http://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016 CTM2017-83655-C2-1-R RUTAS DE ADAPTACION AL CAMBIO CLIMATICO EN LA ZONA COSTERA MEDITERRANEA. SUPERANDO LOS LIMITES DE LA ADAPTABILIDADMinisterio de Economía y Competitividad http://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 MTM2015-65016-C2-2-R TRANSFERENCIA DE METODOS DE DATOS COMPOSICIONALES A LAS CIENCIAS APLICADAS Y LA TECNOLOGIAopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/1742962026-05-27T15:37:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches
title Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches
spellingShingle Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches
Sanuy Vázquez, Marc|||0000-0003-2711-5409
Floods--Spain
EU Floods Directive
Hazard indicators
Inundation maps
Overtopping discharge
Run-up
Total water level
Uncertainty
Inundacions -- Espanya
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
title_short Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches
title_full Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches
title_fullStr Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches
title_full_unstemmed Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches
title_sort Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: event versus response approaches
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Sanuy Vázquez, Marc|||0000-0003-2711-5409
Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684
Ortego Martínez, María Isabel|||0000-0001-9437-9354
Toimil Silva, Alexandra
author Sanuy Vázquez, Marc|||0000-0003-2711-5409
author_facet Sanuy Vázquez, Marc|||0000-0003-2711-5409
Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684
Ortego Martínez, María Isabel|||0000-0001-9437-9354
Toimil Silva, Alexandra
author_role author
author2 Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684
Ortego Martínez, María Isabel|||0000-0001-9437-9354
Toimil Silva, Alexandra
author2_role author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Floods--Spain
EU Floods Directive
Hazard indicators
Inundation maps
Overtopping discharge
Run-up
Total water level
Uncertainty
Inundacions -- Espanya
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
topic Floods--Spain
EU Floods Directive
Hazard indicators
Inundation maps
Overtopping discharge
Run-up
Total water level
Uncertainty
Inundacions -- Espanya
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
description This is the accepted version of the following article: Sanuy, M, Jiménez, JA, Ortego, MI, Toimil, A. Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches. J Flood Risk Management. 2020; 13 (Suppl. 1):e12557. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12557, which has been published in final form at https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jfr3.12557.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020
2020-01-01
2020
2020-01-07
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv journal article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
AM
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/2117/174296
https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12557
url https://hdl.handle.net/2117/174296
https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12557
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Agencia Estatal de Investigación http://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016 CTM2017-83655-C2-1-R RUTAS DE ADAPTACION AL CAMBIO CLIMATICO EN LA ZONA COSTERA MEDITERRANEA. SUPERANDO LOS LIMITES DE LA ADAPTABILIDAD
Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad http://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 MTM2015-65016-C2-2-R TRANSFERENCIA DE METODOS DE DATOS COMPOSICIONALES A LAS CIENCIAS APLICADAS Y LA TECNOLOGIA
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
instname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
instname_str Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
reponame_str UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
collection UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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