Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds
Reproductive timing in many taxa plays a key role in determining breeding productivity1, and is often sensitive to climatic conditions2. Current climate change may alter the timing of breeding at different rates across trophic levels, potentially resulting in temporal mismatch between the resource r...
| Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | article |
| Status: | Versión aceptada para publicación |
| Publication Date: | 2018 |
| Country: | España |
| Institution: | Universidad de Barcelona |
| Repository: | Dipòsit Digital de la UB |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/131245 |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/2445/131245 |
| Access Level: | Open access |
| Keyword: | Ocells marins Canvi climàtic Fenologia Sea birds Climatic change Phenology |
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Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirdsKeogan, KatharineDaunt, FrancisWanless, S. (Sarah)Phillips, Richard A.Walling, Craig A.Agnew, PhilippaAinley, DavidAnker-Nilssen, TychoBallard, GrantBarrett, Robert T.Barton, Kerry J.Bech, ClausBecker, Peter H.Berglund, Per-ArvidBollache, LoïcBond, Alexander L.Bouwhuis, SandraBradley, Russell W.Burr, Zofia M.Camphuysen, KeesCatry, PauloChiaradia, AndréChristensen-Dalsgaard, SigneCuthbert, Richard J.Dehnhard, NinaDescamps, SébastienDiamon, TonyDivoky, GeorgeDrummond, HughDugger, Katie M.Dunn, Michael JEmmerson, LouiseErikstad, Kjell EinarFort, JérômeFraser, WilliamGenovart, MeritxellGilg, OlivierGonzález-Solís, JacobGranadeiro, José PedroGremillet, DavidHansen, JannikHanssen, Sveinn AreHarris, MikeHedd, AprilHinke, JeffersonIgual, José ManuelJahncke, JaimeJones, IanKappes, Peter J.Lang, JohannesLangse, MagdaleneLescroël, AmélieLorentsen, Svein-HåkonLyver, Phil O'B.Mallory, Mark L.Moe, BørgeMontevecchi, William A.Monticelli, DavidMostello, CarolynNewell, MarkNicholson, LisaNisbet, IanOlsson, OlofOro, DanielPattison, VivianPoisbleau, MaudPyk, TanyaQuintana, FlavioRamos, Jaime A.Ramos i Garcia, RaülReiertsen, Tone KirstinRodríguez, CristinaRyan, Peter G.Sanz-Aguilar, AnaSchmidt, Niels M.Shannon, PaulaSittler, BenoitSouthwell, ColinSurman, ChristopherSvagelj, Walter S.Trivelpiece, WayneWarzybok, PeteWeimerskirch, HenriWilson, Peter R.Wood, Andrew G.Phillimore, Albert B.Lewis, SueOcells marinsCanvi climàticFenologiaSea birdsClimatic changePhenologyReproductive timing in many taxa plays a key role in determining breeding productivity1, and is often sensitive to climatic conditions2. Current climate change may alter the timing of breeding at different rates across trophic levels, potentially resulting in temporal mismatch between the resource requirements of predators and their prey3. This is of particular concern for higher-trophic-level organisms, whose longer generation times confer a lower rate of evolutionary rescue than primary producers or consumers4. However, the disconnection between studies of ecological change in marine systems makes it difficult to detect general changes in the timing of reproduction5. Here, we use a comprehensive meta-analysis of 209 phenological time series from 145 breeding populations to show that, on average, seabird populations worldwide have not adjusted their breeding seasons over time (−0.020 days yr−1) or in response to sea surface temperature (SST) (−0.272 days °C−1) between 1952 and 2015. However, marked between-year variation in timing observed in resident species and some Pelecaniformes and Suliformes (cormorants, gannets and boobies) may imply that timing, in some cases, is affected by unmeasured environmental conditions. This limited temperature-mediated plasticity of reproductive timing in seabirds potentially makes these top predators highly vulnerable to future mismatch with lower-trophic-level resources2.Nature Publishing GroupWatanuki, Yutaka2018info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2445/131245Articles publicats en revistes (Biologia Evolutiva, Ecologia i Ciències Ambientals)reponame:Dipòsit Digital de la UBinstname:Universidad de BarcelonaInglésVersió postprint del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-zNature Climate Change, 2018, vol. 8, p. 313-318https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z(c) Keogan, Katharine et al., 2018info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/1312452026-05-27T06:46:51Z |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds |
| title |
Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds |
| spellingShingle |
Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds Keogan, Katharine Ocells marins Canvi climàtic Fenologia Sea birds Climatic change Phenology |
| title_short |
Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds |
| title_full |
Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds |
| title_fullStr |
Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds |
| title_sort |
Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Keogan, Katharine Daunt, Francis Wanless, S. (Sarah) Phillips, Richard A. Walling, Craig A. Agnew, Philippa Ainley, David Anker-Nilssen, Tycho Ballard, Grant Barrett, Robert T. Barton, Kerry J. Bech, Claus Becker, Peter H. Berglund, Per-Arvid Bollache, Loïc Bond, Alexander L. Bouwhuis, Sandra Bradley, Russell W. Burr, Zofia M. Camphuysen, Kees Catry, Paulo Chiaradia, André Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe Cuthbert, Richard J. Dehnhard, Nina Descamps, Sébastien Diamon, Tony Divoky, George Drummond, Hugh Dugger, Katie M. Dunn, Michael J Emmerson, Louise Erikstad, Kjell Einar Fort, Jérôme Fraser, William Genovart, Meritxell Gilg, Olivier González-Solís, Jacob Granadeiro, José Pedro Gremillet, David Hansen, Jannik Hanssen, Sveinn Are Harris, Mike Hedd, April Hinke, Jefferson Igual, José Manuel Jahncke, Jaime Jones, Ian Kappes, Peter J. Lang, Johannes Langse, Magdalene Lescroël, Amélie Lorentsen, Svein-Håkon Lyver, Phil O'B. Mallory, Mark L. Moe, Børge Montevecchi, William A. Monticelli, David Mostello, Carolyn Newell, Mark Nicholson, Lisa Nisbet, Ian Olsson, Olof Oro, Daniel Pattison, Vivian Poisbleau, Maud Pyk, Tanya Quintana, Flavio Ramos, Jaime A. Ramos i Garcia, Raül Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin Rodríguez, Cristina Ryan, Peter G. Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Schmidt, Niels M. Shannon, Paula Sittler, Benoit Southwell, Colin Surman, Christopher Svagelj, Walter S. Trivelpiece, Wayne Warzybok, Pete Weimerskirch, Henri Wilson, Peter R. Wood, Andrew G. Phillimore, Albert B. Lewis, Sue |
| author |
Keogan, Katharine |
| author_facet |
Keogan, Katharine Daunt, Francis Wanless, S. (Sarah) Phillips, Richard A. Walling, Craig A. Agnew, Philippa Ainley, David Anker-Nilssen, Tycho Ballard, Grant Barrett, Robert T. Barton, Kerry J. Bech, Claus Becker, Peter H. Berglund, Per-Arvid Bollache, Loïc Bond, Alexander L. Bouwhuis, Sandra Bradley, Russell W. Burr, Zofia M. Camphuysen, Kees Catry, Paulo Chiaradia, André Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe Cuthbert, Richard J. Dehnhard, Nina Descamps, Sébastien Diamon, Tony Divoky, George Drummond, Hugh Dugger, Katie M. Dunn, Michael J Emmerson, Louise Erikstad, Kjell Einar Fort, Jérôme Fraser, William Genovart, Meritxell Gilg, Olivier González-Solís, Jacob Granadeiro, José Pedro Gremillet, David Hansen, Jannik Hanssen, Sveinn Are Harris, Mike Hedd, April Hinke, Jefferson Igual, José Manuel Jahncke, Jaime Jones, Ian Kappes, Peter J. Lang, Johannes Langse, Magdalene Lescroël, Amélie Lorentsen, Svein-Håkon Lyver, Phil O'B. Mallory, Mark L. Moe, Børge Montevecchi, William A. Monticelli, David Mostello, Carolyn Newell, Mark Nicholson, Lisa Nisbet, Ian Olsson, Olof Oro, Daniel Pattison, Vivian Poisbleau, Maud Pyk, Tanya Quintana, Flavio Ramos, Jaime A. Ramos i Garcia, Raül Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin Rodríguez, Cristina Ryan, Peter G. Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Schmidt, Niels M. Shannon, Paula Sittler, Benoit Southwell, Colin Surman, Christopher Svagelj, Walter S. Trivelpiece, Wayne Warzybok, Pete Weimerskirch, Henri Wilson, Peter R. Wood, Andrew G. Phillimore, Albert B. Lewis, Sue |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Daunt, Francis Wanless, S. (Sarah) Phillips, Richard A. Walling, Craig A. Agnew, Philippa Ainley, David Anker-Nilssen, Tycho Ballard, Grant Barrett, Robert T. Barton, Kerry J. Bech, Claus Becker, Peter H. Berglund, Per-Arvid Bollache, Loïc Bond, Alexander L. Bouwhuis, Sandra Bradley, Russell W. Burr, Zofia M. Camphuysen, Kees Catry, Paulo Chiaradia, André Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe Cuthbert, Richard J. Dehnhard, Nina Descamps, Sébastien Diamon, Tony Divoky, George Drummond, Hugh Dugger, Katie M. Dunn, Michael J Emmerson, Louise Erikstad, Kjell Einar Fort, Jérôme Fraser, William Genovart, Meritxell Gilg, Olivier González-Solís, Jacob Granadeiro, José Pedro Gremillet, David Hansen, Jannik Hanssen, Sveinn Are Harris, Mike Hedd, April Hinke, Jefferson Igual, José Manuel Jahncke, Jaime Jones, Ian Kappes, Peter J. Lang, Johannes Langse, Magdalene Lescroël, Amélie Lorentsen, Svein-Håkon Lyver, Phil O'B. Mallory, Mark L. Moe, Børge Montevecchi, William A. Monticelli, David Mostello, Carolyn Newell, Mark Nicholson, Lisa Nisbet, Ian Olsson, Olof Oro, Daniel Pattison, Vivian Poisbleau, Maud Pyk, Tanya Quintana, Flavio Ramos, Jaime A. Ramos i Garcia, Raül Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin Rodríguez, Cristina Ryan, Peter G. Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Schmidt, Niels M. Shannon, Paula Sittler, Benoit Southwell, Colin Surman, Christopher Svagelj, Walter S. Trivelpiece, Wayne Warzybok, Pete Weimerskirch, Henri Wilson, Peter R. Wood, Andrew G. Phillimore, Albert B. Lewis, Sue |
| author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
| dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Watanuki, Yutaka |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Ocells marins Canvi climàtic Fenologia Sea birds Climatic change Phenology |
| topic |
Ocells marins Canvi climàtic Fenologia Sea birds Climatic change Phenology |
| description |
Reproductive timing in many taxa plays a key role in determining breeding productivity1, and is often sensitive to climatic conditions2. Current climate change may alter the timing of breeding at different rates across trophic levels, potentially resulting in temporal mismatch between the resource requirements of predators and their prey3. This is of particular concern for higher-trophic-level organisms, whose longer generation times confer a lower rate of evolutionary rescue than primary producers or consumers4. However, the disconnection between studies of ecological change in marine systems makes it difficult to detect general changes in the timing of reproduction5. Here, we use a comprehensive meta-analysis of 209 phenological time series from 145 breeding populations to show that, on average, seabird populations worldwide have not adjusted their breeding seasons over time (−0.020 days yr−1) or in response to sea surface temperature (SST) (−0.272 days °C−1) between 1952 and 2015. However, marked between-year variation in timing observed in resident species and some Pelecaniformes and Suliformes (cormorants, gannets and boobies) may imply that timing, in some cases, is affected by unmeasured environmental conditions. This limited temperature-mediated plasticity of reproductive timing in seabirds potentially makes these top predators highly vulnerable to future mismatch with lower-trophic-level resources2. |
| publishDate |
2018 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2018 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion |
| format |
article |
| status_str |
acceptedVersion |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
https://hdl.handle.net/2445/131245 |
| url |
https://hdl.handle.net/2445/131245 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
Inglés |
| language_invalid_str_mv |
Inglés |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Versió postprint del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z Nature Climate Change, 2018, vol. 8, p. 313-318 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
(c) Keogan, Katharine et al., 2018 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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(c) Keogan, Katharine et al., 2018 |
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openAccess |
| dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature Publishing Group |
| publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature Publishing Group |
| dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Articles publicats en revistes (Biologia Evolutiva, Ecologia i Ciències Ambientals) reponame:Dipòsit Digital de la UB instname:Universidad de Barcelona |
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Universidad de Barcelona |
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Dipòsit Digital de la UB |
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Dipòsit Digital de la UB |
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1869423369983623168 |
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15,198674 |