In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain

We investigate the effects of school reopening on the evolution of COVID-19 infections during the second wave in Spain studying both regional and age-group variation within an interrupted time-series design. Spain's 17 Autonomous Communities reopened schools at different moments in time during...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Tormos, Raül, Fonseca Casas, Pau|||0000-0002-6747-9736, García Alamino, Josep Maria
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/377829
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/377829
https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.990277
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Biomathematics
COVID-19 (Disease)
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
In-person school reopening
Non-pharmaceutical intervention
Interrupted time-series anal
Biomatemàtica
Classificació AMS::92 Biology and other natural sciences::92B Mathematical biology in general
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística::Matemàtica aplicada a les ciències
COVID-19 (Malaltia)
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network_acronym_str ES
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repository_id_str
spelling In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in SpainTormos, RaülFonseca Casas, Pau|||0000-0002-6747-9736García Alamino, Josep MariaBiomathematicsCOVID-19 (Disease)COVID-19SARS-CoV-2In-person school reopeningNon-pharmaceutical interventionInterrupted time-series analBiomatemàticaClassificació AMS::92 Biology and other natural sciences::92B Mathematical biology in generalÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística::Matemàtica aplicada a les ciènciesCOVID-19 (Malaltia)We investigate the effects of school reopening on the evolution of COVID-19 infections during the second wave in Spain studying both regional and age-group variation within an interrupted time-series design. Spain's 17 Autonomous Communities reopened schools at different moments in time during September 2020. We find that in-person school reopening correlates with a burst in infections in almost all those regions. Data from Spanish regions gives a further leverage: in some cases, pre-secondary and secondary education started at different dates. The analysis of those cases does not allow to conclude whether reopening one educational stage had an overall stronger impact than the other. To provide a plausible mechanism connecting school reopening with the burst in contagion, we study the Catalan case in more detail, scrutinizing the interrupted time-series patterns of infections among age-groups and the possible connections between them. The stark and sudden increase in contagion among older children (10–19) just after in-person school reopening appears to drag the evolution of other age-groups according to Granger causality. This might be taken as an indirect indication of household transmission from offspring to parents with important societal implications for the aggregate dynamics of infections.Peer ReviewedFrontiers Media SA20222022-10-1320222022-12-12journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2117/377829https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.990277reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCinstname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)Inglésengopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Attribution 4.0 Internationalhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/3778292026-05-27T15:37:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain
title In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain
spellingShingle In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain
Tormos, Raül
Biomathematics
COVID-19 (Disease)
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
In-person school reopening
Non-pharmaceutical intervention
Interrupted time-series anal
Biomatemàtica
Classificació AMS::92 Biology and other natural sciences::92B Mathematical biology in general
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística::Matemàtica aplicada a les ciències
COVID-19 (Malaltia)
title_short In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain
title_full In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain
title_fullStr In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain
title_full_unstemmed In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain
title_sort In-person school reopening and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave in Spain
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Tormos, Raül
Fonseca Casas, Pau|||0000-0002-6747-9736
García Alamino, Josep Maria
author Tormos, Raül
author_facet Tormos, Raül
Fonseca Casas, Pau|||0000-0002-6747-9736
García Alamino, Josep Maria
author_role author
author2 Fonseca Casas, Pau|||0000-0002-6747-9736
García Alamino, Josep Maria
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Biomathematics
COVID-19 (Disease)
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
In-person school reopening
Non-pharmaceutical intervention
Interrupted time-series anal
Biomatemàtica
Classificació AMS::92 Biology and other natural sciences::92B Mathematical biology in general
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística::Matemàtica aplicada a les ciències
COVID-19 (Malaltia)
topic Biomathematics
COVID-19 (Disease)
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
In-person school reopening
Non-pharmaceutical intervention
Interrupted time-series anal
Biomatemàtica
Classificació AMS::92 Biology and other natural sciences::92B Mathematical biology in general
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística::Matemàtica aplicada a les ciències
COVID-19 (Malaltia)
description We investigate the effects of school reopening on the evolution of COVID-19 infections during the second wave in Spain studying both regional and age-group variation within an interrupted time-series design. Spain's 17 Autonomous Communities reopened schools at different moments in time during September 2020. We find that in-person school reopening correlates with a burst in infections in almost all those regions. Data from Spanish regions gives a further leverage: in some cases, pre-secondary and secondary education started at different dates. The analysis of those cases does not allow to conclude whether reopening one educational stage had an overall stronger impact than the other. To provide a plausible mechanism connecting school reopening with the burst in contagion, we study the Catalan case in more detail, scrutinizing the interrupted time-series patterns of infections among age-groups and the possible connections between them. The stark and sudden increase in contagion among older children (10–19) just after in-person school reopening appears to drag the evolution of other age-groups according to Granger causality. This might be taken as an indirect indication of household transmission from offspring to parents with important societal implications for the aggregate dynamics of infections.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022
2022-10-13
2022
2022-12-12
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv journal article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
VoR
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/2117/377829
https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.990277
url https://hdl.handle.net/2117/377829
https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.990277
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
language eng
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Attribution 4.0 International
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Attribution 4.0 International
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Frontiers Media SA
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Frontiers Media SA
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
instname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
instname_str Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
reponame_str UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
collection UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score 15.301603

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