Debt-growth linkages in EMU across countries and time horizons

This paper contributes to the literature by empirically examining whether the influence of public debt on economic growth differs between the short and the long run and presents different patterns across euro-area countries. To this end, we use annual data from both central and peripheral countries...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Gómez-Puig, Marta, Sosvilla Rivero, Simón Javier
Formato: informe técnico
Fecha de publicación:2016
País:España
Recursos:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/27595
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/27595
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:C22
F33
H63
O40
O52
Public debt
Economic growth
Bounds testing
Euro area
Peripheral EMU countries
Central EMU countries
Cooperación económica
Economía internacional
5310 Economía Internacional
Descrição
Resumo:This paper contributes to the literature by empirically examining whether the influence of public debt on economic growth differs between the short and the long run and presents different patterns across euro-area countries. To this end, we use annual data from both central and peripheral countries of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) for the 1960-2012 period and estimate a growth model augmented for public debt using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. Our findings tend to support the view that public debt always has a negative impact on the long-run performance of EMU countries, whilst its short-run effect may be positive depending on the country.