Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios

Producción Científica

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Lauer, Arthur, Castro Carranza, Carlos de, Carpintero Redondo, Óscar
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Valladolid
Repositorio:UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid
OAI Identifier:oai:uvadoc.uva.es:10324/73295
Acceso en línea:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2024.103460
https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/73295
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Global environmental scenarios
Sustainability transitions
Narratives
Post-capitalism
Human-nature relationships
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spelling Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenariosLauer, ArthurCastro Carranza, Carlos deCarpintero Redondo, ÓscarGlobal environmental scenariosSustainability transitionsNarrativesPost-capitalismHuman-nature relationshipsProducción CientíficaDespite the great relevance of global environmental scenarios for the study of environmental change and sustainability transitions, they have rarely been the object of analysis for scholars of the social sciences. In this article, we analyze the ideological assumptions of 993 global environmental scenarios contained in 243 academic works. By developing a new categorization of environmental scenarios, we investigate the economic and governance organization reflected in the scenarios, as well as the portrayed human-nature relationships. We find that global environmental scenarios developed and used by the scientific community largely reproduce rather than break with dominant power structures in the economic, governance and cultural domain. The majority of scenarios reflects an anthropocentric worldview and assumes that the logic of global capitalism and of the Westphalian state-based governance system will not change radically during the 21st century. The implicit solution of sustainability problems dominating these scenarios is a combination of continuous economic growth, rapid technological progress and an international (environmental) agreement. ‘Alternative scenarios’ are scarce, often only problematize one dimension of the social structure of world society and frequently lack explicit drivers of change or pathways to desirable futures. To increase the diversity of scenarios, future research should focus on refining and quantifying existing post-capitalist, post-state-centric and/or ecocentric scenarios, and on developing a range of scenarios whose storyline systematically problematize or even break with current power structures.Elsevier2024info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2024.103460https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/73295reponame:UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolidinstname:Universidad de ValladolidIngléshttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328724001423info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/oai:uvadoc.uva.es:10324/732952026-06-13T12:44:47Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios
title Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios
spellingShingle Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios
Lauer, Arthur
Global environmental scenarios
Sustainability transitions
Narratives
Post-capitalism
Human-nature relationships
title_short Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios
title_full Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios
title_fullStr Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios
title_sort Between continuous presents and disruptive futures: Identifying the ideological backbones of global environmental scenarios
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Lauer, Arthur
Castro Carranza, Carlos de
Carpintero Redondo, Óscar
author Lauer, Arthur
author_facet Lauer, Arthur
Castro Carranza, Carlos de
Carpintero Redondo, Óscar
author_role author
author2 Castro Carranza, Carlos de
Carpintero Redondo, Óscar
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Global environmental scenarios
Sustainability transitions
Narratives
Post-capitalism
Human-nature relationships
topic Global environmental scenarios
Sustainability transitions
Narratives
Post-capitalism
Human-nature relationships
description Producción Científica
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2024.103460
https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/73295
url https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2024.103460
https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/73295
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328724001423
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid
instname:Universidad de Valladolid
instname_str Universidad de Valladolid
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collection UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid
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