How Inheritance Expectations Impact Household Savings

This article examines how expecting to receive an inheritance impacts household savings. Life-cycle consumption models indicate that the expectation of inheriting should reduce current savings for forward-thinking consumers. We investigate this economic prediction, considering factors such as liquid...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Belloc, Ignacio, Molina, José Alberto
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Zaragoza
Repositorio:Zaguán. Repositorio Digital de la Universidad de Zaragoza
OAI Identifier:oai:zaguan.unizar.es:165265
Acceso en línea:http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/165265
Access Level:acceso abierto
Descripción
Sumario:This article examines how expecting to receive an inheritance impacts household savings. Life-cycle consumption models indicate that the expectation of inheriting should reduce current savings for forward-thinking consumers. We investigate this economic prediction, considering factors such as liquidity constraints and education. To do so, we use household fixed effects to account for time-invariant factors and exploit within-household variation over time by using the Japanese Panel Survey of Consumers (2003–2019), which provides individual-level information and overcomes endogeneity concerns commonly present in cross-sectional studies. Our findings reveal that households adjust their current savings in anticipation of receiving future inheritances. Specifically, men decrease their current savings by 5% if they expect to receive an inheritance in the future. Additionally, we find more pronounced changes among households with higher education and income levels. These findings inform inheritance fiscal policies, such as inheritance taxes, revealing that future inheritance expectations influence current savings decisions.