Long-term interest rates in Europe: A fractional cointegration analysis

This paper uses fractional integration/cointegration techniques to examine the stochastic behaviour of long-term interest rates (on government securities with 10-year maturity) in 23 European countries as well as their long-run linkages on a pairwise basis over the period January 2001–February 2018....

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Caporale, G.M. (Guglielmo M.)|||/items/9eec80b9-3717-46f0-a5da-1d38cae16ad1, Gil-Alana, L.A. (Luis A.)|||/items/a283ece6-b578-452c-9362-8d1a6255b23c
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:España
Recursos:Universidad de Navarra
Repositorio:Dadun. Depósito Académico Digital de la Universidad de Navarra
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:dadun.unav.edu:10171/62873
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/10171/62873
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Long-term interest rates
Fractional integration
Fractional cointegration
Descrição
Resumo:This paper uses fractional integration/cointegration techniques to examine the stochastic behaviour of long-term interest rates (on government securities with 10-year maturity) in 23 European countries as well as their long-run linkages on a pairwise basis over the period January 2001–February 2018. The results are mixed and sensitive to the (parametric and semi-parametric) estimation methods. Evidence is found for both unit roots and mean reversion in the series analysed. Various rates (especially in the case of smaller economies) appear to be fractionally cointegrated, but interestingly German, French and UK rates are not found to be linked to any other European rates.