Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population

[EN] Electronic commerce (EC) has numerous advantages. It allows saving time when we purchase an item, offers the possibility of review without depending on the schedules of traditional stores, access to a wider variety and quantity of articles, in many cases, with lower prices, etc. Based upon math...

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Autores: Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263, Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155, Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532, Martínez-Rodríguez, David
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
Repositorio:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/139655
Acceso en línea:https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/139655
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Electronic Commerce
Real-world mathematical model
Nonlinear system of difference equations
Uncertainty quantification
MATEMATICA APLICADA
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spelling Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size populationBurgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532Martínez-Rodríguez, DavidElectronic CommerceReal-world mathematical modelNonlinear system of difference equationsUncertainty quantificationMATEMATICA APLICADA[EN] Electronic commerce (EC) has numerous advantages. It allows saving time when we purchase an item, offers the possibility of review without depending on the schedules of traditional stores, access to a wider variety and quantity of articles, in many cases, with lower prices, etc. Based upon mathematical epidemiology tenets strongly related to social behavior able to describe the influence of peers, in this paper we propose an age-group dynamic model with population varying size based on a system of difference equations to study the evolution of the frequent users of EC over time in Spain. Using data from surveys retrieved from the Spanish National Statistics Institute, we use and design computational algorithms to perform a probabilistic estimation of the model parameters that allow the model output to capture the data uncertainty. Then, we will be able to perform a precise prediction with uncertainty.This work has been partially supported by the Ministerio de Economia y Competitividad grant MTM2017-89664-P and by the European Union through the Operational Program of the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF)/European Social Fund (ESF) of the Valencian Community 2014-2020, grants GJIDI/2018/A/009 and GJIDI/2018/A/010.World ScientificFacultad de Administración y Dirección de EmpresasDepartamento de Matemática AplicadaEscuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Geodésica, Cartográfica y TopográficaInstituto Universitario de Matemática MultidisciplinarGeneralitat ValencianaAgencia Estatal de InvestigaciónRepositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politècnica de València Riunet20192019-07-01journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/139655reponame:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valénciainstname:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)InglésengAgencia Estatal de Investigación http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016 MTM2017-89664-P PROBLEMAS DINAMICOS CON INCERTIDUMBRE SIMULABLE: MODELIZACION MATEMATICA, ANALISIS, COMPUTACION Y APLICACIONESGeneralitat Valenciana https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003359 GJIDI%2F2018%2FA%2F009Generalitat Valenciana https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003359 GJIDI%2F2018%2FA%2F010open accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Reserva de todos los derechoshttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:riunet.upv.es:10251/1396552026-06-13T07:49:27Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
spellingShingle Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263
Electronic Commerce
Real-world mathematical model
Nonlinear system of difference equations
Uncertainty quantification
MATEMATICA APLICADA
title_short Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_full Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_fullStr Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_full_unstemmed Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_sort Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263
Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155
Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532
Martínez-Rodríguez, David
author Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263
author_facet Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263
Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155
Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532
Martínez-Rodríguez, David
author_role author
author2 Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155
Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532
Martínez-Rodríguez, David
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Facultad de Administración y Dirección de Empresas
Departamento de Matemática Aplicada
Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Geodésica, Cartográfica y Topográfica
Instituto Universitario de Matemática Multidisciplinar
Generalitat Valenciana
Agencia Estatal de Investigación
Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politècnica de València Riunet
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Electronic Commerce
Real-world mathematical model
Nonlinear system of difference equations
Uncertainty quantification
MATEMATICA APLICADA
topic Electronic Commerce
Real-world mathematical model
Nonlinear system of difference equations
Uncertainty quantification
MATEMATICA APLICADA
description [EN] Electronic commerce (EC) has numerous advantages. It allows saving time when we purchase an item, offers the possibility of review without depending on the schedules of traditional stores, access to a wider variety and quantity of articles, in many cases, with lower prices, etc. Based upon mathematical epidemiology tenets strongly related to social behavior able to describe the influence of peers, in this paper we propose an age-group dynamic model with population varying size based on a system of difference equations to study the evolution of the frequent users of EC over time in Spain. Using data from surveys retrieved from the Spanish National Statistics Institute, we use and design computational algorithms to perform a probabilistic estimation of the model parameters that allow the model output to capture the data uncertainty. Then, we will be able to perform a precise prediction with uncertainty.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019
2019-07-01
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv journal article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
VoR
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/139655
url https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/139655
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Agencia Estatal de Investigación http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016 MTM2017-89664-P PROBLEMAS DINAMICOS CON INCERTIDUMBRE SIMULABLE: MODELIZACION MATEMATICA, ANALISIS, COMPUTACION Y APLICACIONES
Generalitat Valenciana https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003359 GJIDI%2F2018%2FA%2F009
Generalitat Valenciana https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003359 GJIDI%2F2018%2FA%2F010
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Reserva de todos los derechos
http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Reserva de todos los derechos
http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv World Scientific
publisher.none.fl_str_mv World Scientific
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
instname:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
instname_str Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
reponame_str RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
collection RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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