Spatial-temporal temperature modelling: example of Gori ka Brda viticultural region (Slovenia)

[EN] Climate change presents an increasing threat to agricultural, with significant impacts in viticulture. Rising temperatures affect grape yield, grape composition, and wine quality. This study aims to assess future temperature increase at Gori & scaron;ka Brda (Slovenia) viticultural regi...

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Bibliographic Details
Author: Sirnik, Igor
Format: article
Publication Date:2026
Country:España
Institution:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
Repository:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:dnet:riunet______::bbf6234e7f4ef5bd7f8ba6033d9d4ec7
Online Access:https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/234987
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Climate change
Adaptation strategies
Worldclime
Viticulture
RCP 4.5
RCP 8.5
Description
Summary:[EN] Climate change presents an increasing threat to agricultural, with significant impacts in viticulture. Rising temperatures affect grape yield, grape composition, and wine quality. This study aims to assess future temperature increase at Gori & scaron;ka Brda (Slovenia) viticultural region. Temperature data sets were retrieved from three weather stations located within and in vicinity of Gori & scaron;ka Brda. Future temperature simulation for the period 2041-2060 were evaluated under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios using averages of Coupled Model Intercomparison Phase 5 (CMIP5). The future simulated temperatures showed an average temperature increase of approximately 2.0 degrees C at all three weather stations for 2041-2060 compared to the referenceperiod (1950-2000). The assessed temperature increase highlights the need for adaptation strategies in Gori & scaron;ka Brda. The findings of this study provide valuable insights to support decision-making among winemakers by identifying appropriate adaptation strategies to enhance the resilience of viticulture under future climate change conditions.