Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management

Conservation Biology fosters the study of Earth's ecosystems and biodiversity aiming at protecting species and their habitats from menaces causing the erosion of biotic interactions and extinctions. Its ultimate goal is to preserve biodiversity and promote sustainable ecological management main...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Sardanyés, J., Ivančić, F., Vidiella, B.
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2072/537459
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/2072/537459
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Early warning signals
Ecological conservation
Late warning signals
Regime shifts
Tipping points
Transients
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network_name_str España
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dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management
title Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management
spellingShingle Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management
Sardanyés, J.
Early warning signals
Ecological conservation
Late warning signals
Regime shifts
Tipping points
Transients
title_short Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management
title_full Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management
title_fullStr Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management
title_full_unstemmed Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management
title_sort Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem management
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Sardanyés, J.
Ivančić, F.
Vidiella, B.
author Sardanyés, J.
author_facet Sardanyés, J.
Ivančić, F.
Vidiella, B.
author_role author
author2 Ivančić, F.
Vidiella, B.
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Early warning signals
Ecological conservation
Late warning signals
Regime shifts
Tipping points
Transients
topic Early warning signals
Ecological conservation
Late warning signals
Regime shifts
Tipping points
Transients
description Conservation Biology fosters the study of Earth's ecosystems and biodiversity aiming at protecting species and their habitats from menaces causing the erosion of biotic interactions and extinctions. Its ultimate goal is to preserve biodiversity and promote sustainable ecological management maintaining both ecosystem's resilience and services. Ecosystems display complex patterns in time and space due to the intrinsic nonlinear nature of their interactions and can suffer regime shifts driven by the agents of global change. During the last decades, Ecology has turned from the equilibrium metaphor to the paradigm of non-equilibrium dynamics. This involves putting into the scene multiple stable states, nonlinear regime shifts, stochasticity, and ecological transients. These aspects are also crucial for biological conservation since they play a fundamental role in species' persistence, ecosystems' resilience, and in detecting warning signals prior to either the collapse or the recovery of the ecosystem. In this contribution, we discuss ecological regime shifts caused by tipping points in real ecosystems. Then, we provide information on some known dynamical features from theoretical ecology and dynamical systems theory associated to tipping points, mainly given by transient phenomena and the characteristic statistical patterns tied to early warning signals. These features are illustrated with a single-species mathematical model including facilitation and immigration. We also introduce and provide evidence of late warning signals as a way to identify when a tipping point has been surpassed but the system still remains in a transient state and recovery may be still possible. Our main goal is to near non-equilibrium concepts in Ecology to the conservationist community and promote bridges between such concepts and the management and conservation of ecosystems. © 2024 The Authors
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/2072/537459
url http://hdl.handle.net/2072/537459
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Biological Conservation
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv 15 p.
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Ltd
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Ltd
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv RECERCAT (Dipòsit de la Recerca de Catalunya)
reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
instname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
instname_str Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
reponame_str Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
collection Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
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spelling Identifying regime shifts, transients and late warning signals for proactive ecosystem managementSardanyés, J.Ivančić, F.Vidiella, B.Early warning signalsEcological conservationLate warning signalsRegime shiftsTipping pointsTransientsConservation Biology fosters the study of Earth's ecosystems and biodiversity aiming at protecting species and their habitats from menaces causing the erosion of biotic interactions and extinctions. Its ultimate goal is to preserve biodiversity and promote sustainable ecological management maintaining both ecosystem's resilience and services. Ecosystems display complex patterns in time and space due to the intrinsic nonlinear nature of their interactions and can suffer regime shifts driven by the agents of global change. During the last decades, Ecology has turned from the equilibrium metaphor to the paradigm of non-equilibrium dynamics. This involves putting into the scene multiple stable states, nonlinear regime shifts, stochasticity, and ecological transients. These aspects are also crucial for biological conservation since they play a fundamental role in species' persistence, ecosystems' resilience, and in detecting warning signals prior to either the collapse or the recovery of the ecosystem. In this contribution, we discuss ecological regime shifts caused by tipping points in real ecosystems. Then, we provide information on some known dynamical features from theoretical ecology and dynamical systems theory associated to tipping points, mainly given by transient phenomena and the characteristic statistical patterns tied to early warning signals. These features are illustrated with a single-species mathematical model including facilitation and immigration. We also introduce and provide evidence of late warning signals as a way to identify when a tipping point has been surpassed but the system still remains in a transient state and recovery may be still possible. Our main goal is to near non-equilibrium concepts in Ecology to the conservationist community and promote bridges between such concepts and the management and conservation of ecosystems. © 2024 The AuthorsFunding text 1: This research has been funded by the 2020–21 Biodiversa+/Water JPI joint call under the BiodivRestore ERANET Cofund (GA N°101003777) MPA4Sustainability project with funding organizations: Innovation Fund Denmark (IFD), Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR), Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT), Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) and grants PCI2022-132936 and PCI2022-132926 funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and by the European Union NextGenerationEU/PRTR. This work is also supported by the Spanish State Research Agency, through the Severo Ochoa and María de Maeztu Program for Centers and Units of Excellence in R&D (CEX2020-001084-M). We thank CERCA Programme/-Generalitat de Catalunya for institutional support. JS has been also supported by the Ramón y Cajal grant RYC2017-22243 funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 “FSE invests in your future”.; Funding text 2: This research has been funded by the 2020–21 Biodiversa+/Water JPI joint call under the BiodivRestore ERANET Cofund (GA N° 101003777 ) MPA4Sustainability project with funding organizations: Innovation Fund Denmark (IFD), Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR), Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT), Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) and grants PCI2022-132936 and PCI2022-132926 funded by MCIN/AEI / 10.13039/501100011033 and by the European Union NextGenerationEU/PRTR . This work is also supported by the Spanish State Research Agency , through the Severo Ochoa and María de Maeztu Program for Centers and Units of Excellence in R&D ( CEX2020-001084-M ). We thank CERCA Programme/-Generalitat de Catalunya for institutional support. JS has been also supported by the Ramón y Cajal grant RYC2017-22243 funded by MCIN/AEI/ 10.13039/501100011033 “FSE invests in your future”.Elsevier Ltd2024info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion15 p.application/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/2072/537459RECERCAT (Dipòsit de la Recerca de Catalunya)reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunyainstname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)InglésBiological ConservationL'accés als continguts d'aquest document queda condicionat a l'acceptació de les condicions d'ús establertes per la següent llicència Creative Commons: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:recercat.cat:2072/5374592026-05-29T05:05:01Z
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