Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling

Producción Científica

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Calheiros, Tomás, Beça, Pedro, Capela Lourenço, Tiago, Eggler, Lukas, Mediavilla Pascual, Margarita, Ferreras Alonso, Noelia, Ramos Díez, Iván, Samsó, Roger, Distefano, Tiziano, Pastor, Amandine
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Valladolid
Repositorio:UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid
OAI Identifier:oai:uvadoc.uva.es:10324/69714
Acceso en línea:https://doi.org/10.3390/su16041548
https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/69714
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Hydropower
Energía hidráulica
Integrated Assessment Model
Sustainable development
Desarrollo sostenible
Renewable energy resources
Energías renovables
Climate change
Clima - Cambios
Climate change mitigation
Clima - Cambios - Aspecto del medio ambiente
Climatology
Environment
2502 Climatología
5312.05 Energía
3308 Ingeniería y Tecnología del Medio Ambiente
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spelling Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modellingCalheiros, TomásBeça, PedroCapela Lourenço, TiagoEggler, LukasMediavilla Pascual, MargaritaFerreras Alonso, NoeliaRamos Díez, IvánSamsó, RogerDistefano, TizianoPastor, AmandineHydropowerEnergía hidráulicaIntegrated Assessment ModelSustainable developmentDesarrollo sostenibleRenewable energy resourcesEnergías renovablesClimate changeClima - CambiosClimate change mitigationClima - Cambios - Aspecto del medio ambienteClimatologyEnvironment2502 Climatología5312.05 Energía3308 Ingeniería y Tecnología del Medio AmbienteProducción CientíficaThe world is facing a global sustainability crisis affecting environmental systems and society. Addressing these issues requires a multi-dimensional approach that can integrate energy, water, and environment Systems, as well as provide scientific policy advice. In this study, an updated version of an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) was used, together with new data compatible with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) projections, to significantly improve the work developed before. SSP climate data (temperature, precipitation, and total radiative forcing) and socioeconomic data (population and GDP) were loaded into the IAM, together with different scenario parameters. By analyzing varying socioeconomic scenarios, mitigation efforts, and adaptation strategies, this study assesses their impact on primary energy demand and, consequently, their impact on hydropower potential production. Our results show diverse energy paths, strongly dependent on the future scenario. Energy demand could increase up to 160%; however, several projections foresee a decline in hydropower production to minus 46% due to both climate change and socioeconomic transformation. Our findings highlight the importance of considering a range of potential future scenarios in energy planning and policy development. The varied outcomes across the considered scenarios emphasize the need for flexibility in strategies to accommodate for uncertainties and address the challenges posed by divergent trajectories in hydropower use and renewable energy shares.Fundación Portuguesa para la Ciencia y la Tecnología (FCT) - (project UIDB/00329/2020)Unión Europea, European Union’s Horizon 2020 - (grant 821105)MDPI2024info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.3390/su16041548https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/69714reponame:UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolidinstname:Universidad de ValladolidIngléshttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/4/1548info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/oai:uvadoc.uva.es:10324/697142026-06-13T12:44:47Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling
title Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling
spellingShingle Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling
Calheiros, Tomás
Hydropower
Energía hidráulica
Integrated Assessment Model
Sustainable development
Desarrollo sostenible
Renewable energy resources
Energías renovables
Climate change
Clima - Cambios
Climate change mitigation
Clima - Cambios - Aspecto del medio ambiente
Climatology
Environment
2502 Climatología
5312.05 Energía
3308 Ingeniería y Tecnología del Medio Ambiente
title_short Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling
title_full Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling
title_fullStr Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling
title_full_unstemmed Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling
title_sort Assessing hydropower potential under shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios using integrated assessment modelling
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Calheiros, Tomás
Beça, Pedro
Capela Lourenço, Tiago
Eggler, Lukas
Mediavilla Pascual, Margarita
Ferreras Alonso, Noelia
Ramos Díez, Iván
Samsó, Roger
Distefano, Tiziano
Pastor, Amandine
author Calheiros, Tomás
author_facet Calheiros, Tomás
Beça, Pedro
Capela Lourenço, Tiago
Eggler, Lukas
Mediavilla Pascual, Margarita
Ferreras Alonso, Noelia
Ramos Díez, Iván
Samsó, Roger
Distefano, Tiziano
Pastor, Amandine
author_role author
author2 Beça, Pedro
Capela Lourenço, Tiago
Eggler, Lukas
Mediavilla Pascual, Margarita
Ferreras Alonso, Noelia
Ramos Díez, Iván
Samsó, Roger
Distefano, Tiziano
Pastor, Amandine
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Hydropower
Energía hidráulica
Integrated Assessment Model
Sustainable development
Desarrollo sostenible
Renewable energy resources
Energías renovables
Climate change
Clima - Cambios
Climate change mitigation
Clima - Cambios - Aspecto del medio ambiente
Climatology
Environment
2502 Climatología
5312.05 Energía
3308 Ingeniería y Tecnología del Medio Ambiente
topic Hydropower
Energía hidráulica
Integrated Assessment Model
Sustainable development
Desarrollo sostenible
Renewable energy resources
Energías renovables
Climate change
Clima - Cambios
Climate change mitigation
Clima - Cambios - Aspecto del medio ambiente
Climatology
Environment
2502 Climatología
5312.05 Energía
3308 Ingeniería y Tecnología del Medio Ambiente
description Producción Científica
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.3390/su16041548
https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/69714
url https://doi.org/10.3390/su16041548
https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/69714
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/4/1548
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid
instname:Universidad de Valladolid
instname_str Universidad de Valladolid
reponame_str UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid
collection UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score 15,812455

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