First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe

This article belongs to the Special Issue Zoonotic Viral Diseases: Drivers, Causes, Prevention and Cure.

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Saegerman, Claude, Humblet, Marie-France, Ruiz-Fons, Francisco, Estrada-Peña, Agustín
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repositorio:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/353545
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/353545
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE)
Flavivirus
TBEV
Genus Ixodes
Dermacentor reticulatus
Clustering analysis
Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA)
Ticks
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repository_id_str
spelling First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in EuropeSaegerman, ClaudeHumblet, Marie-FranceRuiz-Fons, FranciscoEstrada-Peña, AgustínTick-borne encephalitis (TBE)FlavivirusTBEVGenus IxodesDermacentor reticulatusClustering analysisMulti-criteria decision analysis (MCDA)TicksThis article belongs to the Special Issue Zoonotic Viral Diseases: Drivers, Causes, Prevention and Cure.Claude Saegerman, et al.Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is a viral disease endemic in Eurasia. The virus is mainly transmitted to humans via ticks and occasionally via the consumption of unpasteurized milk products. The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control reported an increase in TBE incidence over the past years in Europe as well as the emergence of the disease in new areas. To better understand this phenomenon, we investigated the drivers of TBE emergence and increase in incidence in humans through an expert knowledge elicitation. We listed 59 possible drivers grouped in eight domains and elicited forty European experts to: (i) allocate a score per driver, (ii) weight this score within each domain, and (iii) weight the different domains and attribute an uncertainty level per domain. An overall weighted score per driver was calculated, and drivers with comparable scores were grouped into three terminal nodes using a regression tree analysis. The drivers with the highest scores were: (i) changes in human behavior/activities; (ii) changes in eating habits or consumer demand; (iii) changes in the landscape; (iv) influence of humidity on the survival and transmission of the pathogen; (v) difficulty to control reservoir(s) and/or vector(s); (vi) influence of temperature on virus survival and transmission; (vii) number of wildlife compartments/groups acting as reservoirs or amplifying hosts; (viii) increase of autochthonous wild mammals; and (ix) number of tick species vectors and their distribution. Our results support researchers in prioritizing studies targeting the most relevant drivers of emergence and increasing TBE incidence.Peer reviewedMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing InstituteConsejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]202420242023info:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Publisher's versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10261/353545reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSICinstname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)InglésThe underlying dataset has been published as supplementary material of the article in the publisher platform at DOI 10.3390/v15030791https://doi.org/10.3390/v15030791Síinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:digital.csic.es:10261/3535452026-05-22T06:33:51Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe
title First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe
spellingShingle First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe
Saegerman, Claude
Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE)
Flavivirus
TBEV
Genus Ixodes
Dermacentor reticulatus
Clustering analysis
Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA)
Ticks
title_short First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe
title_full First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe
title_fullStr First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe
title_full_unstemmed First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe
title_sort First expert elicitation of knowledge on possible drivers of observed increasing human cases of tick-borne encephalitis in Europe
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Saegerman, Claude
Humblet, Marie-France
Ruiz-Fons, Francisco
Estrada-Peña, Agustín
author Saegerman, Claude
author_facet Saegerman, Claude
Humblet, Marie-France
Ruiz-Fons, Francisco
Estrada-Peña, Agustín
author_role author
author2 Humblet, Marie-France
Ruiz-Fons, Francisco
Estrada-Peña, Agustín
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE)
Flavivirus
TBEV
Genus Ixodes
Dermacentor reticulatus
Clustering analysis
Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA)
Ticks
topic Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE)
Flavivirus
TBEV
Genus Ixodes
Dermacentor reticulatus
Clustering analysis
Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA)
Ticks
description This article belongs to the Special Issue Zoonotic Viral Diseases: Drivers, Causes, Prevention and Cure.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023
2024
2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
Publisher's version
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10261/353545
url http://hdl.handle.net/10261/353545
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv The underlying dataset has been published as supplementary material of the article in the publisher platform at DOI 10.3390/v15030791
https://doi.org/10.3390/v15030791
Sí
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
instname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
instname_str Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
reponame_str DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
collection DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score 15.811543

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