An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain

This article seeks to quantify the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license during the 18- month period following its coming into force. This is achieved by means of univariate and multivariate unobserved component models set up in a state space framework estimated using maximum likelih...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Castillo Manzano, José I., Castro Nuño, Mercedes, Pedregal Tercero, Diego José
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2010
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Sevilla (US)
Repositorio:idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
OAI Identifier:oai:idus.us.es:11441/148835
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/11441/148835
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2010.02.009
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Penalty points system
Road traffic accidents
Public law enforcement
Unobserved component models
State space system
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spelling An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in SpainCastillo Manzano, José I.Castro Nuño, MercedesPedregal Tercero, Diego JoséPenalty points systemRoad traffic accidentsPublic law enforcementUnobserved component modelsState space systemThis article seeks to quantify the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license during the 18- month period following its coming into force. This is achieved by means of univariate and multivariate unobserved component models set up in a state space framework estimated using maximum likelihood. A detailed intervention analysis is carried out in order to test for the effects and their duration of the introduction of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain. Other variables, mainly indicators of the level of economic activity in Spain, are also considered. Among the main effects, we can mention an average reduction of almost 12.6% in the number of deaths in highway accidents. It would take at least 2 years for that effect to disappear. For the rest of the safety indicator variables (vehicle occupants injured in highway accidents and vehicle occupants injured in accidents built-up areas) the effects disappeared 1 year after the law coming into force.Elsevier ScienceAnálisis Económico y Economía Política2010info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/11441/148835https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2010.02.009reponame:idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevillainstname:Universidad de Sevilla (US)InglésAccident Analysis and Prevention, 42 (4), 1310-1319.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2010.02.009info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:idus.us.es:11441/1488352026-06-17T12:51:07Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain
title An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain
spellingShingle An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain
Castillo Manzano, José I.
Penalty points system
Road traffic accidents
Public law enforcement
Unobserved component models
State space system
title_short An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain
title_full An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain
title_fullStr An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain
title_full_unstemmed An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain
title_sort An econometric analysis of the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Castillo Manzano, José I.
Castro Nuño, Mercedes
Pedregal Tercero, Diego José
author Castillo Manzano, José I.
author_facet Castillo Manzano, José I.
Castro Nuño, Mercedes
Pedregal Tercero, Diego José
author_role author
author2 Castro Nuño, Mercedes
Pedregal Tercero, Diego José
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Análisis Económico y Economía Política
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Penalty points system
Road traffic accidents
Public law enforcement
Unobserved component models
State space system
topic Penalty points system
Road traffic accidents
Public law enforcement
Unobserved component models
State space system
description This article seeks to quantify the effects of the penalty points system driver’s license during the 18- month period following its coming into force. This is achieved by means of univariate and multivariate unobserved component models set up in a state space framework estimated using maximum likelihood. A detailed intervention analysis is carried out in order to test for the effects and their duration of the introduction of the penalty points system driver’s license in Spain. Other variables, mainly indicators of the level of economic activity in Spain, are also considered. Among the main effects, we can mention an average reduction of almost 12.6% in the number of deaths in highway accidents. It would take at least 2 years for that effect to disappear. For the rest of the safety indicator variables (vehicle occupants injured in highway accidents and vehicle occupants injured in accidents built-up areas) the effects disappeared 1 year after the law coming into force.
publishDate 2010
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2010
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/11441/148835
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2010.02.009
url https://hdl.handle.net/11441/148835
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2010.02.009
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Accident Analysis and Prevention, 42 (4), 1310-1319.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2010.02.009
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Science
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier Science
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
instname:Universidad de Sevilla (US)
instname_str Universidad de Sevilla (US)
reponame_str idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
collection idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score 15.301603

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