Transformación urbana y movilidad sostenible: construyendo una Barcelona car-free
(English) The configuration of contemporary cities has been deeply shaped by the hegemony of the automobile as a structuring axis of territory, mobility, and public space. This model, consolidated since the mid-20th century, has led to dispersed, exclusionary, and unsustainable urban forms, limiting...
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| Tipo de recurso: | tesis doctoral |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2026 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) |
| Repositorio: | UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC |
| Idioma: | español |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/457405 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/2117/457405 https://dx.doi.org/10.5821/dissertation-2117-457405 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | movilidad sostenible car-free escenarios futuros prospectiva 502 - Natura. Estudi, conservació i protecció de la natura 71 - Urbanisme. Paisatgisme, parcs i jardins Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Urbanisme Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Desenvolupament humà i sostenible |
| Sumario: | (English) The configuration of contemporary cities has been deeply shaped by the hegemony of the automobile as a structuring axis of territory, mobility, and public space. This model, consolidated since the mid-20th century, has led to dispersed, exclusionary, and unsustainable urban forms, limiting quality of life and hindering the creation of more equitable and resilient environments. In response, critical approaches have emerged advocating for a paradigm shift toward people-centered cities, the right to the city, and sustainable mobility. In this context, this doctoral thesis aims to construct prospective scenarios for a car-free Barcelona by 2050, through a structural and multiscalar analysis of its mobility system, urban planning, and use of public space. A mixed-methods approach is adopted, integrating six methodological lines: (1) collection and preprocessing of mobility data from the Barcelona Metropolitan Area (AMB); (2) exploratory factor analysis (EFA) on a longitudinal AMB database; (3) trend analysis using regression and ARIMA models to project modal shifts; (4) comparative analysis of Amsterdam and Copenhagen as international car-free transition benchmarks; (5) expert consultation through a disaggregated Delphi method; and (6) construction of contrasted future scenarios. The results identify latent structures in the mobility system, tensions between urban policies and actual mobility practices, and institutional challenges linked to multilevel governance. The developed scenarios outline alternative urban futures, from continuity-based models to deep transformations, highlighting their implications in terms of equity, sustainability, and the right to the city. This research provides an original contribution by integrating approaches from sustainable mobility, prospective planning, and multiscalar analysis. Its findings guide the formulation of public policies and urban strategies toward more just, healthy, and sustainable post-car cities. Ultimately, it proposes conceptual and methodological tools to rethink urbanism through the lens of deep transformation in the face of climate, social, and territorial uncertainty. |
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