Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)

In the present study, we compare energy transition scenarios from a new set of integrated assessment models, the suite of MEDEAS models, based on a systems dynamic modeling approach, with scenarios from two already well know structurally and conceptually different integrated assessment models, the I...

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Autores: Perissi, Ilaria, Martelloni, Gianluca, Bardi, Ugo, Natalini, Davide, Jones, Aled, Samsó, Roger, Nikolaev, Angel, Baumann, Martin, Eggler, Lukas, Solé Ollé, Jordi
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
OAI Identifier:oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/181100
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/181100
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Indústries energètiques
Canvi climàtic
Energies renovables
Política energètica
Energy industries
Climatic change
Renewable energy sources
Energy policy
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spelling Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)Perissi, IlariaMartelloni, GianlucaBardi, UgoNatalini, DavideJones, AledSamsó, RogerNikolaev, AngelBaumann, MartinEggler, LukasSolé Ollé, JordiIndústries energètiquesCanvi climàticEnergies renovablesPolítica energèticaEnergy industriesClimatic changeRenewable energy sourcesEnergy policyIn the present study, we compare energy transition scenarios from a new set of integrated assessment models, the suite of MEDEAS models, based on a systems dynamic modeling approach, with scenarios from two already well know structurally and conceptually different integrated assessment models, the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). The investigation was carried out to cross-compare and benchmark the response of MEDEAS models with TIMES and LEAP in depicting the energy transition in two different countries, Austria and Bulgaria. The preliminary results show a good agreement across all the models in representing scenarios projecting historical trends, while a major discrepancy is detectable when the rate of implementation of renewable energy is forced to increase to achieve energy system decarbonization. The discrepancy is mainly traceable to the differences in the models' conception and structures rather than in a real mismatch in representing the same scenarios. The present study is put forward as a guideline for validating new modeling approaches that link energy policy decision tools to the global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints.MDPI2021info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2445/181100Articles publicats en revistes (Dinàmica de la Terra i l'Oceà)reponame:Dipòsit Digital de la UBinstname:Universidad de BarcelonaInglésReproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13041967Sustainability, 2021, vol. 13, num. 4, p. 1967https://doi.org/10.3390/su13041967info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/691287cc-by (c) Perissi, Ilaria et al., 2021https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/1811002026-05-27T06:46:51Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)
title Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)
spellingShingle Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)
Perissi, Ilaria
Indústries energètiques
Canvi climàtic
Energies renovables
Política energètica
Energy industries
Climatic change
Renewable energy sources
Energy policy
title_short Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)
title_full Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)
title_fullStr Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)
title_full_unstemmed Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)
title_sort Cross-validation of the MEDEAS energy-economy-environment model in comparison to the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Perissi, Ilaria
Martelloni, Gianluca
Bardi, Ugo
Natalini, Davide
Jones, Aled
Samsó, Roger
Nikolaev, Angel
Baumann, Martin
Eggler, Lukas
Solé Ollé, Jordi
author Perissi, Ilaria
author_facet Perissi, Ilaria
Martelloni, Gianluca
Bardi, Ugo
Natalini, Davide
Jones, Aled
Samsó, Roger
Nikolaev, Angel
Baumann, Martin
Eggler, Lukas
Solé Ollé, Jordi
author_role author
author2 Martelloni, Gianluca
Bardi, Ugo
Natalini, Davide
Jones, Aled
Samsó, Roger
Nikolaev, Angel
Baumann, Martin
Eggler, Lukas
Solé Ollé, Jordi
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Indústries energètiques
Canvi climàtic
Energies renovables
Política energètica
Energy industries
Climatic change
Renewable energy sources
Energy policy
topic Indústries energètiques
Canvi climàtic
Energies renovables
Política energètica
Energy industries
Climatic change
Renewable energy sources
Energy policy
description In the present study, we compare energy transition scenarios from a new set of integrated assessment models, the suite of MEDEAS models, based on a systems dynamic modeling approach, with scenarios from two already well know structurally and conceptually different integrated assessment models, the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). The investigation was carried out to cross-compare and benchmark the response of MEDEAS models with TIMES and LEAP in depicting the energy transition in two different countries, Austria and Bulgaria. The preliminary results show a good agreement across all the models in representing scenarios projecting historical trends, while a major discrepancy is detectable when the rate of implementation of renewable energy is forced to increase to achieve energy system decarbonization. The discrepancy is mainly traceable to the differences in the models' conception and structures rather than in a real mismatch in representing the same scenarios. The present study is put forward as a guideline for validating new modeling approaches that link energy policy decision tools to the global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/2445/181100
url https://hdl.handle.net/2445/181100
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13041967
Sustainability, 2021, vol. 13, num. 4, p. 1967
https://doi.org/10.3390/su13041967
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/691287
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv cc-by (c) Perissi, Ilaria et al., 2021
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv cc-by (c) Perissi, Ilaria et al., 2021
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Articles publicats en revistes (Dinàmica de la Terra i l'Oceà)
reponame:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
instname:Universidad de Barcelona
instname_str Universidad de Barcelona
reponame_str Dipòsit Digital de la UB
collection Dipòsit Digital de la UB
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score 15.300719

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