Optimal Decision Making via Binary Decision Diagrams for Investments under a Risky Environment

This paper presents two methods for supporting investments and resource allocation in a constrained risky environment. These methods are based on the application of logical decision trees and binary decision diagrams as an approach that allows quantitative analysis of a qualitative study. The scenar...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Pliego Marugán, Alberto
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha
Repositorio:RUIdeRA. Repositorio Institucional de la UCLM
OAI Identifier:oai:ruidera.uclm.es:10578/16075
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10578/16075
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Optimal Decision Making
Decision Diagrams
Descripción
Sumario:This paper presents two methods for supporting investments and resource allocation in a constrained risky environment. These methods are based on the application of logical decision trees and binary decision diagrams as an approach that allows quantitative analysis of a qualitative study. The scenario considered in this paper is a decision making process under risk environment, where stochastic variables are considered. The two novel procedures are introduced to facilitate the resource allocation as the objective of the decision making process. The first procedure uses the analytic expression provided by binary decision diagrams as an objective function of a non-linear programming model. The second procedure introduces an importance measure that takes into account some external constraints, unlike the classical importance measures that only consider the topology of the tree. The first technique will optimize the outcomes and the second will provide a good approximation of the outcomes using simpler calculations.