Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain

Below-replacement fertility has persisted across European countries for a few decades, though, with variation. Delays in age at first union and first birth have been key factors in the declining fertility levels within these societies. While the vast majority of births occurs within a stable partner...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Nishikido, Momoko, Cui, Qi, Esteve, Albert
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:10230/56761
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10230/56761
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-022-00170-w
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Below-replacement fertility
First birth
Cohort approach
Partnership formation
Spain
Sweden
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spelling Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and SpainNishikido, MomokoCui, QiEsteve, AlbertBelow-replacement fertilityFirst birthCohort approachPartnership formationSpainSwedenBelow-replacement fertility has persisted across European countries for a few decades, though, with variation. Delays in age at first union and first birth have been key factors in the declining fertility levels within these societies. While the vast majority of births occurs within a stable partnership, the link between partnership formation and childbearing is rarely taken into account. In this paper, we examine the role of partnership formation in explaining the gap between Sweden and Spain regarding transitions to first birth. We utilize data from the 2018 Spanish Fertility Survey and the 2012/2013 Swedish Generations and Gender Survey to explore transition probabilities to first birth and implement Kitagawa decomposition and standardization techniques. Results show that having a partner is a strong predictor of becoming a first-time parent in the next 3 years, mainly within the ages 25 to 35. On average, Swedish first-birth transition probabilities for women are only 12% higher than probabilities of Spanish counterparts within this age range, suggesting that the proportion of partnerships formed plays a crucial role in explaining the fertility gap. Decomposition results confirm that before age 30, 74% of the difference in first-order births among women are due to the difference in partnership composition. We further find that earlier union formation in Spain could potentially reduce childlessness levels. Overall, our study highlights the importance of examining the role of partnership dynamics in fertility studies.MN acknowledges support from the FI doctoral scholarship funded by the AGAUR (Agència de Gestió d’Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca, Catalonia). QC and AE acknowledges support from the GLOBFAM project (RTI2018-096730-B-I00).Springer202320232022info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10230/56761http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-022-00170-wreponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunyainstname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)InglésGenus. 2022;78:26.https://ndownloader.figstatic.com/files/36667818info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/2PE/RTI2018-096730-B-I00© The Author(s) 2022. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:recercat.cat:10230/567612026-05-29T05:05:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
title Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
spellingShingle Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
Nishikido, Momoko
Below-replacement fertility
First birth
Cohort approach
Partnership formation
Spain
Sweden
title_short Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
title_full Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
title_fullStr Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
title_full_unstemmed Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
title_sort Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and Spain
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Nishikido, Momoko
Cui, Qi
Esteve, Albert
author Nishikido, Momoko
author_facet Nishikido, Momoko
Cui, Qi
Esteve, Albert
author_role author
author2 Cui, Qi
Esteve, Albert
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Below-replacement fertility
First birth
Cohort approach
Partnership formation
Spain
Sweden
topic Below-replacement fertility
First birth
Cohort approach
Partnership formation
Spain
Sweden
description Below-replacement fertility has persisted across European countries for a few decades, though, with variation. Delays in age at first union and first birth have been key factors in the declining fertility levels within these societies. While the vast majority of births occurs within a stable partnership, the link between partnership formation and childbearing is rarely taken into account. In this paper, we examine the role of partnership formation in explaining the gap between Sweden and Spain regarding transitions to first birth. We utilize data from the 2018 Spanish Fertility Survey and the 2012/2013 Swedish Generations and Gender Survey to explore transition probabilities to first birth and implement Kitagawa decomposition and standardization techniques. Results show that having a partner is a strong predictor of becoming a first-time parent in the next 3 years, mainly within the ages 25 to 35. On average, Swedish first-birth transition probabilities for women are only 12% higher than probabilities of Spanish counterparts within this age range, suggesting that the proportion of partnerships formed plays a crucial role in explaining the fertility gap. Decomposition results confirm that before age 30, 74% of the difference in first-order births among women are due to the difference in partnership composition. We further find that earlier union formation in Spain could potentially reduce childlessness levels. Overall, our study highlights the importance of examining the role of partnership dynamics in fertility studies.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022
2023
2023
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10230/56761
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-022-00170-w
url http://hdl.handle.net/10230/56761
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-022-00170-w
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Genus. 2022;78:26.
https://ndownloader.figstatic.com/files/36667818
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/2PE/RTI2018-096730-B-I00
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
instname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
instname_str Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
reponame_str Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
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