Uncertainty, Systemic Shocks and the Global Banking Sector: Has the Crisis Modified their Relationship?

We estimate the impact of equity market uncertainty and an unobservable systemic risk factor on the returns of the major banks in the global banking sector. Our estimation combines quantile regressions, structural changes, and factor models and allows us to explore the stability of systemic risk pro...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Uribe Gil, Jorge Mario, Chuliá Soler, Helena, Guillén, Montserrat
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:España
Recursos:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/119062
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/119062
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Risc (Economia)
Incertesa
Mercat financer
Risk
Uncertainty
Financial market
Descrição
Resumo:We estimate the impact of equity market uncertainty and an unobservable systemic risk factor on the returns of the major banks in the global banking sector. Our estimation combines quantile regressions, structural changes, and factor models and allows us to explore the stability of systemic risk propagation among financial institutions. We find that risk propagation has remained stable over the last decade, and we report evidence indicating that equity market uncertainty is a major systemic factor for the global banking system. Additionally, we provide a new simple tool for measuring the resilience of financial institutions to systemic shocks.