Alternative estimates of the well-known negative relationship between the US interest rate risk and the flow-through capability

This paper estimates US industries' ability to transmit inflation shocks to the prices of their products and services (flow-through capability, FTC) and the stock duration (interest rate sensitivity) at the sector level. Then, considering the significant differences in ability among industries,...

ver descrição completa

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Jareño Cebrián, Francisco, Tolentino García-Abadillo, Marta, Cano, Carlos
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:España
Recursos:Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha
Repositorio:RUIdeRA. Repositorio Institucional de la UCLM
OAI Identifier:oai:ruidera.uclm.es:10578/21058
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10578/21058
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Economics
Business economics
Finance
Financial economics
Management
Flow-through capability
Inflation rate
Stock duration
Stock return
Sectoral analysis
Descrição
Resumo:This paper estimates US industries' ability to transmit inflation shocks to the prices of their products and services (flow-through capability, FTC) and the stock duration (interest rate sensitivity) at the sector level. Then, considering the significant differences in ability among industries, we analyze the relationship between FTC and interest rate sensitivity using two alternative methodologies (in both cases). Finally, we find a significant negative relationship between FTC and stock duration, as suggested by previous literature. Thus, industries with high FTC, such as S7 (Finance and Real Estate), S9 (Manufacturing), S11 (Transportation and Warehousing) and S12 (Utilities), may be less sensitive (than expected) to changes in nominal interest rates. In contrast, sectors such as S4 (Retail Trade), S8 (Information) and S10 (Professional and Administrative Services) (with high IRS) may be more sensitive (than expected) to changes in nominal interest rates, indicating a weak ability to transmit inflation shocks to the prices of their products and services