Hydro morphodynamic modelling in Mediterranean storms: errors and uncertainties under sharp gradients

This paper deals with the limits in hydrodynamic and morphodynamic predictions for semi-enclosed coastal domains subject to sharp gradients (in bathymetry, topography, sediment transport and coastal damages). It starts with an overview of wave prediction limits (based on satellite images and buoy re...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, Agustín|||0000-0002-3450-6697, Gracia García, Vicente|||0000-0002-4628-426X, García León, Manuel|||0000-0001-6498-1440
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2014
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/24744
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/24744
https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2993-2014
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Coast changes--Spain
uncertainty
nearshore forecasting
errors
altimeter
beach morphodynamics
prediction limits
Canvis costaners -- Catalunya
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
Descripción
Sumario:This paper deals with the limits in hydrodynamic and morphodynamic predictions for semi-enclosed coastal domains subject to sharp gradients (in bathymetry, topography, sediment transport and coastal damages). It starts with an overview of wave prediction limits (based on satellite images and buoy records) in a restricted domain, namely the Mediterranean basin, followed by an in-depth analysis of the Catalan coast, one of its land boundaries. The morphodynamic modelling for such regions is next discussed, based on the impact of a characteristic storm. The driving wave and surge conditions produce a morphodynamic response that is validated against the pre- and post-storm emerged beach state, recovered from two lidar images. The quality of the fit is discussed in terms of the physical processes and the suitability of the employed modelling suite. From here an assessment of errors and uncertainties is presented, with the aim of establishing the prediction limits for flooding and erosion analyses, key elements for coastal engineering decisions.