Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain

The impacts that climate change and land-use dynamics have on biodiversity are already visible in the distribution and behaviour of a large number of species. By using a Bayesian framework, including land-use, meteorological, topography and other variables as explanatory variables, such as distance...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Sáez Zafra, Marc, Varga, Diego, Roigé, Mariona, Pintó i Fusalba, Josep
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:España
Recursos:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:10256/17104
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10256/17104
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Biodiversitat
Biological diversity
Estadística bayesiana
Bayesian statistical decision theory
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spelling Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, SpainSáez Zafra, MarcVarga, DiegoRoigé, MarionaPintó i Fusalba, JosepBiodiversitatBiological diversityEstadística bayesianaBayesian statistical decision theoryThe impacts that climate change and land-use dynamics have on biodiversity are already visible in the distribution and behaviour of a large number of species. By using a Bayesian framework, including land-use, meteorological, topography and other variables as explanatory variables, such as distance to roads and urban centres, we modeled a number of species within each cell of a regular lattice for Catalonia, Spain, in the period of 2004 to 2010. We estimated a slight increase in daily maximum temperature and a more significant increase in minimum temperature (a 5-year increase of 0.159 °C in maximum temperature, and an increase of 0.332 °C in minimum temperature). The estimation shows that the total number of species was greater than expected in the cells where land use was not urban—38.4%, in forests and 55.2% in mixed forests. Finally, we observed that most invasive species are found in areas where the minimum temperature is expected to increase. Our study can help with making important recommendations as to where, when and how future threats could affect specie distribution and the kind of planning processes needed for when protected natural areas will be unable to continue to support all the species they were designed to protectThis work was partly funded by the University of Girona (MPCUdG2016, GDRCompetUdG2017 and TRANSFERUdG2016)MDPI (Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute)2019info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpeer-reviewedapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10256/17104http://hdl.handle.net/10256/17104© International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2019, vol. 16, p. nullArticles publicats (D-EC)reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunyainstname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)Inglésinfo:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3390/ijerph16204026info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/1661-7827info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/eissn/1660-4601Attribution 4.0 Internationalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:recercat.cat:10256/171042026-05-29T05:05:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain
title Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain
spellingShingle Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain
Sáez Zafra, Marc
Biodiversitat
Biological diversity
Estadística bayesiana
Bayesian statistical decision theory
title_short Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain
title_full Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain
title_fullStr Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain
title_sort Assessing the spatial distribution of biodiversity in a changing temperature pattern: the case of Catalonia, Spain
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Sáez Zafra, Marc
Varga, Diego
Roigé, Mariona
Pintó i Fusalba, Josep
author Sáez Zafra, Marc
author_facet Sáez Zafra, Marc
Varga, Diego
Roigé, Mariona
Pintó i Fusalba, Josep
author_role author
author2 Varga, Diego
Roigé, Mariona
Pintó i Fusalba, Josep
author2_role author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Biodiversitat
Biological diversity
Estadística bayesiana
Bayesian statistical decision theory
topic Biodiversitat
Biological diversity
Estadística bayesiana
Bayesian statistical decision theory
description The impacts that climate change and land-use dynamics have on biodiversity are already visible in the distribution and behaviour of a large number of species. By using a Bayesian framework, including land-use, meteorological, topography and other variables as explanatory variables, such as distance to roads and urban centres, we modeled a number of species within each cell of a regular lattice for Catalonia, Spain, in the period of 2004 to 2010. We estimated a slight increase in daily maximum temperature and a more significant increase in minimum temperature (a 5-year increase of 0.159 °C in maximum temperature, and an increase of 0.332 °C in minimum temperature). The estimation shows that the total number of species was greater than expected in the cells where land use was not urban—38.4%, in forests and 55.2% in mixed forests. Finally, we observed that most invasive species are found in areas where the minimum temperature is expected to increase. Our study can help with making important recommendations as to where, when and how future threats could affect specie distribution and the kind of planning processes needed for when protected natural areas will be unable to continue to support all the species they were designed to protect
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
peer-reviewed
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10256/17104
http://hdl.handle.net/10256/17104
url http://hdl.handle.net/10256/17104
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3390/ijerph16204026
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/1661-7827
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/eissn/1660-4601
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv Attribution 4.0 International
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Attribution 4.0 International
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI (Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute)
publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI (Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute)
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv © International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2019, vol. 16, p. null
Articles publicats (D-EC)
reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
instname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
instname_str Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
reponame_str Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
collection Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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