Spatio-temporal error growth in the multi-scale Lorenz’96 model

The influence of multiple spatio-temporal scales on the error growth and predictability of atmospheric flows is analyzed throughout the paper. To this aim, we consider the two-scale Lorenz’96 model and study the interplay of the slow and fast variables on the error growth dynamics. It is shown that...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Herrera García, Sixto|||0000-0002-5384-179X, Fernández Fernández, Jesús (matemático)|||0000-0002-3483-0008, Rodríguez Díaz, Miguel Ángel|||0000-0003-4184-0463, Gutiérrez Llorente, José Manuel
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2010
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Cantabria (UC)
Repositorio:UCrea Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de Cantabria
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.unican.es:10902/1626
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10902/1626
Access Level:acceso abierto
Descripción
Sumario:The influence of multiple spatio-temporal scales on the error growth and predictability of atmospheric flows is analyzed throughout the paper. To this aim, we consider the two-scale Lorenz’96 model and study the interplay of the slow and fast variables on the error growth dynamics. It is shown that when the coupling between slow and fast variables is weak the slow variables dominate the evolution of fluctuations whereas in the case of strong coupling the fast variables impose a non-trivial complex error growth pattern on the slow variables with two different regimes, before and after saturation of fast variables. This complex behavior is analyzed using the recently introduced Mean-Variance Logarithmic (MVL) diagram.