Undoing the lock-in of suburban sprawl

Suburban sprawl emerged during the 20th century alongside the widespread ownership of cars. This type of low-density housing generates enduring car dependency due to the long lifetimes of buildings. A more sustainable mobility system would require a deep transformation to densify urban forms and thu...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Pérez-Sánchez, Laura|||0000-0002-6772-8456, Fishman, Tomer|||0000-0003-4405-2382, Behrens, Paul
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:290989
Acceso en línea:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/290989
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141954
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Material flow analysis (MFA)
Path dependency
Urban density
Urban form
Committed emissions
Industrial ecology
SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
SDG 15 - Life on Land
Descripción
Sumario:Suburban sprawl emerged during the 20th century alongside the widespread ownership of cars. This type of low-density housing generates enduring car dependency due to the long lifetimes of buildings. A more sustainable mobility system would require a deep transformation to densify urban forms and thus foster proximity of homes, work, and services. Here we explore the evolution of long-lived residential building stocks and the potential for breaking of this lock-in by selective demolishing of detached houses to densify urban forms. We assess impacts on land use, material demand and stocks, and greenhouse gas emissions. We use a novel dynamic, Material Flow Analysis (MFA) model applied to a Swedish case study that accounts for the co-relations of building stock and car fleets through residential density. The model includes different municipality types and we explore three different speeds for the change in urban form. An accelerated densification requires more bulk materials in construction but fewer scarcer materials in cars. However, the up-front emissions of accelerated densification construction are only compensated by mobility savings in the long-term, by 2100. Emissions trends for the three scenarios are far from the urgent decarbonisation necessary. However, the denser final built environments may have social benefits and can free up significant land.