Integration of future water scarcity and electricity supply into prospective LCA

The urgency of tackling global environmental issues calls for radical technological and behavioral changes. New prospective (or ex ante) methods are needed to assess the impacts of these changes. Prospective life cycle assessment (LCA) can contribute by detailed analysis of environmental consequence...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Baustert, Paul|||0000-0002-4207-6949, Igos, Elorri, Schaubroeck, Thomas, Chion, Laurent, Mendoza Beltran, Angelica|||0000-0001-5837-5970, Stehfest, Elke, van Vuuren, Detlef, Biemans, Hester, Benetto, Enrico
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Institución:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:302286
Acceso en línea:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/302286
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1111/jiec.13272
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Desalination
Industrial ecology
Integrated assessment model
New technology
Prospective LCA
Water scarcity
SDG 6 - Clean Water and Sanitation
SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
SDG 12 - Responsible Consumption and Production
SDG 13 - Climate Action
Descripción
Sumario:The urgency of tackling global environmental issues calls for radical technological and behavioral changes. New prospective (or ex ante) methods are needed to assess the impacts of these changes. Prospective life cycle assessment (LCA) can contribute by detailed analysis of environmental consequences. A new stream of research has taken up the challenge to create prospective life cycle inventory (LCI) databases, building on projections of integrated assessment models to describe future changes in technology use and their underlying environmental performance. The present work extends on this by addressing the research question on how to project life cycle impact assessment methods for water scarcity consistent with prospective LCI modeling. Water scarcity characterization factors are projected from 2010-2050 using the AWARE method, based on SSP-RCP scenario results of the integrated assessment model IMAGE. This work is coupled with prospective LCI databases, where electricity datasets are adapted based on the energy component of IMAGE for the same scenario. Based on this, an LCA case study of water desalination for the steel industry in Spain is presented. The resulting regional characterization factors show that some regions (i.e., the Iberian Peninsula) could experience an increase in water scarcity in the future. Results of the case study show how this can lead to trade-offs between climate change and water scarcity impacts and how disregarding such trends could lead to biased assessments. The relevance and limitations are finally discussed, highlighting further research needs, such as the temporalization of the impacts.