The impact of renewable energies on wholesale electricity prices
Rationale Renewable electricity generation capacity is rising significantly in Spain. Given the merit order pricing system used in the wholesale electricity market, this could have profound implications for electricity price dynamics. Takeaways •The share of wind and solar energy in total electricit...
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2024 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Banco de España |
| Repositorio: | Repositorio Institucional del Banco de España |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:repositorio.bde.es:123456789/37635 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://repositorio.bde.es/handle/123456789/37635 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Electricity market Renewable energies Merit order pricing system Energías renovables Precio de la electricidad Energía y política energética E31 Q41 Q42 |
| Sumario: | Rationale Renewable electricity generation capacity is rising significantly in Spain. Given the merit order pricing system used in the wholesale electricity market, this could have profound implications for electricity price dynamics. Takeaways •The share of wind and solar energy in total electricity generation increased from 26% in 2019 to over 40% in 2024 H1. In the first half of this year, wholesale electricity prices were more than 40% lower than they would have been had wind and solar generation remained at 2019 levels. •The model estimated in this article suggests that under the renewable generation deployment scenarios envisaged in the update of the National Energy and Climate Plan, wholesale electricity prices could drop by an additional 50% by 2030. •In any event, the future behaviour of these prices is subject to considerable uncertainty, influenced by various supply-side factors and how demand responds to the new levels of renewable generation. |
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