Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6

Màster de Meteorologia, Facultat de Física, Universitat de Barcelona, Curs: 2019-2020, Tutors: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Martin Jury, Bernat Codina.

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Cos Espuña, Josep
Tipo de recurso: tesis de maestría
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
OAI Identifier:oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/174984
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/174984
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Canvi climàtic
Mediterrània (Regió)
Treballs de fi de màster
Climatic change
Mediterranean Region
Master's theses
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spelling Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6Cos Espuña, JosepCanvi climàticMediterrània (Regió)Treballs de fi de màsterClimatic changeMediterranean RegionMaster's thesesMàster de Meteorologia, Facultat de Física, Universitat de Barcelona, Curs: 2019-2020, Tutors: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Martin Jury, Bernat Codina.The Mediterranean has been identified as a climate change hotspot due to increased warming trends and precipitation decline. To estimate the impacts of the ongoing climate change on the region, projections of various CMIP5 and CMIP6 experiments and scenarios are compared. The changes in temperature and precipitation for the 21st century are studied under scenarios RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6, RCP4.5/SSP2-4.5 and RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5 as well as the high resolution High-ResMIP experiments. Additionally, to give robust estimates of projected changes a model weighting scheme is applied, accounting for historical performance and inter-independence of the multi-member multi-model ensembles. Results indicate a significant and robust warming over the Mediterranean during the 21st century over all the ensembles and experiments. Nevertheless, the amplified Mediterranean warming with respect to the global average is only found for summer. Projected changes vary between CMIP5 and CMIP6, with the latter projecting a stronger warming. In contrast to temperature, precipitation changes show a higher level of uncertainty and spatial heterogeneity. However, for the high emission scenario, a robust decline in precipitation is projected for large parts of the region during summer. Results applying the model weighting scheme indicate reductions in CMIP6 and increases in CMIP5 warming trends, making the differences between the two ensembles smallerDoblas-Reyes, Francisco JavierJury, MartinCodina, Bernat2021info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2445/174984Màster Oficial - Meteorologiareponame:Dipòsit Digital de la UBinstname:Universidad de BarcelonaIngléscc-by-nc-nd (c) Cos, 2021http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/1749842026-05-27T06:46:51Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6
title Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6
spellingShingle Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6
Cos Espuña, Josep
Canvi climàtic
Mediterrània (Regió)
Treballs de fi de màster
Climatic change
Mediterranean Region
Master's theses
title_short Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6
title_full Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6
title_fullStr Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6
title_full_unstemmed Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6
title_sort Mediterranean climate change projections from CMIP5 and CMIP6
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Cos Espuña, Josep
author Cos Espuña, Josep
author_facet Cos Espuña, Josep
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Doblas-Reyes, Francisco Javier
Jury, Martin
Codina, Bernat
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Canvi climàtic
Mediterrània (Regió)
Treballs de fi de màster
Climatic change
Mediterranean Region
Master's theses
topic Canvi climàtic
Mediterrània (Regió)
Treballs de fi de màster
Climatic change
Mediterranean Region
Master's theses
description Màster de Meteorologia, Facultat de Física, Universitat de Barcelona, Curs: 2019-2020, Tutors: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Martin Jury, Bernat Codina.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/2445/174984
url https://hdl.handle.net/2445/174984
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv cc-by-nc-nd (c) Cos, 2021
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv cc-by-nc-nd (c) Cos, 2021
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Màster Oficial - Meteorologia
reponame:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
instname:Universidad de Barcelona
instname_str Universidad de Barcelona
reponame_str Dipòsit Digital de la UB
collection Dipòsit Digital de la UB
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score 15,198674

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