Interest rates, government purchases and the Taylor rule in recessions and expansions
In this paper we study asymmetries in the Taylor rule for the United States during the 1970-2012 period. We show that monetary authorities have been constantly concerned with excess demand in overheated periods - when the output gap is positive or the unemployment rate falls below 7% or 7.5% - raisi...
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2013 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
| Repositorio: | Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ddd.uab.cat:324322 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://ddd.uab.cat/record/324322 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.jmacro.2013.08.019 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth |
| Sumario: | In this paper we study asymmetries in the Taylor rule for the United States during the 1970-2012 period. We show that monetary authorities have been constantly concerned with excess demand in overheated periods - when the output gap is positive or the unemployment rate falls below 7% or 7.5% - raising the interest rate aggressively in that case. However, the Fed seems more reluctant to decrease the fund's rate during recessions. On the contrary, monetary authorities react symmetrically and forcefully to inflation in booms and busts. Finally, we provide evidence that an expansionary fiscal policy does not lead to an increase in interest rates, and thus there is not necessary a "crowding-out" effect in recessions. |
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