Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia
The response of the global water cycle to changes in global surface temperature remains an outstanding question in future climate projections and in past climate reconstructions. The stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope compositions of precipitation (δprecip), meteoric water (δMW) and seawater (δSW) i...
| Autores: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión aceptada para publicación |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2023 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC) |
| Repositorio: | DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:digital.csic.es:10261/338818 |
| Acceso en línea: | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/338818 https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85175579933 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Water cycle Temperature change Global surface temperature http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts |
| id |
ES_b08cfc554ba6edebbe1a3fb6291c04f2 |
|---|---|
| oai_identifier_str |
oai:digital.csic.es:10261/338818 |
| network_acronym_str |
ES |
| network_name_str |
España |
| repository_id_str |
|
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia |
| title |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia |
| spellingShingle |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia Konecky, Bronwen L. Water cycle Temperature change Global surface temperature http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts |
| title_short |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia |
| title_full |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia |
| title_fullStr |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia |
| title_sort |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Konecky, Bronwen L. McKay, Nicholas P. Falster, Georgina M. Stevenson, Samantha L. Fischer, Matt J. Atwood, Alyssa R. Thompson, Diane M. Jones, Matthew D. Tyler, Jonathan J. DeLong, Kristine L. Martrat, Belen Thomas, Elizabeth K. Conroy, Jessica L. Dee, Sylvia G. Jonkers, Lukas Churakova (Sidorova), Olga V. Kern, Zoltán Opel, Thomas Porter, Trevor J. Sayani, Hussein R. Skrzypek, Grzegorz Abram, Nerilie J. Braun, Kerstin Carré, Matthieu Cartapanis, Olivier Comas-Bru, Laia Curran, Mark A. Dassié, Emilie P. Deininger, Michael Divine, Dmitry V. Incarbona, Alessandro Kaufman, Darrell S. Kaushal, Nikita Klaebe, Robert M. Kolus, Hannah R. Leduc, Guillaume Managave, Shreyas R. Mortyn, P. Graham Moy, Andrew D. Orsi, Anais J. Partin, Judson W. Roop, Heidi A. Sicre, Marie Alexandrine von Gunten, Lucien Yoshimura, Kei |
| author |
Konecky, Bronwen L. |
| author_facet |
Konecky, Bronwen L. McKay, Nicholas P. Falster, Georgina M. Stevenson, Samantha L. Fischer, Matt J. Atwood, Alyssa R. Thompson, Diane M. Jones, Matthew D. Tyler, Jonathan J. DeLong, Kristine L. Martrat, Belen Thomas, Elizabeth K. Conroy, Jessica L. Dee, Sylvia G. Jonkers, Lukas Churakova (Sidorova), Olga V. Kern, Zoltán Opel, Thomas Porter, Trevor J. Sayani, Hussein R. Skrzypek, Grzegorz Abram, Nerilie J. Braun, Kerstin Carré, Matthieu Cartapanis, Olivier Comas-Bru, Laia Curran, Mark A. Dassié, Emilie P. Deininger, Michael Divine, Dmitry V. Incarbona, Alessandro Kaufman, Darrell S. Kaushal, Nikita Klaebe, Robert M. Kolus, Hannah R. Leduc, Guillaume Managave, Shreyas R. Mortyn, P. Graham Moy, Andrew D. Orsi, Anais J. Partin, Judson W. Roop, Heidi A. Sicre, Marie Alexandrine von Gunten, Lucien Yoshimura, Kei |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
McKay, Nicholas P. Falster, Georgina M. Stevenson, Samantha L. Fischer, Matt J. Atwood, Alyssa R. Thompson, Diane M. Jones, Matthew D. Tyler, Jonathan J. DeLong, Kristine L. Martrat, Belen Thomas, Elizabeth K. Conroy, Jessica L. Dee, Sylvia G. Jonkers, Lukas Churakova (Sidorova), Olga V. Kern, Zoltán Opel, Thomas Porter, Trevor J. Sayani, Hussein R. Skrzypek, Grzegorz Abram, Nerilie J. Braun, Kerstin Carré, Matthieu Cartapanis, Olivier Comas-Bru, Laia Curran, Mark A. Dassié, Emilie P. Deininger, Michael Divine, Dmitry V. Incarbona, Alessandro Kaufman, Darrell S. Kaushal, Nikita Klaebe, Robert M. Kolus, Hannah R. Leduc, Guillaume Managave, Shreyas R. Mortyn, P. Graham Moy, Andrew D. Orsi, Anais J. Partin, Judson W. Roop, Heidi A. Sicre, Marie Alexandrine von Gunten, Lucien Yoshimura, Kei |
| author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
| dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
0000-0003-1647-2865 0000-0003-3598-5113 0000-0001-8567-7413 0000-0002-4052-3549 0000-0001-6615-6540 0000-0002-6181-1259 0000-0001-8116-5568 0000-0001-8046-0215 0000-0001-6320-421X 0000-0001-9904-9178 0000-0002-6489-7123 0000-0003-3652-3199 0000-0002-2140-785X 0000-0002-0253-2639 0000-0003-4900-2587 0000-0003-1315-8256 0000-0002-5916-1998 0000-0002-5686-2393 Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72] |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Water cycle Temperature change Global surface temperature http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts |
| topic |
Water cycle Temperature change Global surface temperature http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts |
| description |
The response of the global water cycle to changes in global surface temperature remains an outstanding question in future climate projections and in past climate reconstructions. The stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope compositions of precipitation (δprecip), meteoric water (δMW) and seawater (δSW) integrate processes from microphysical to global scales and thus are uniquely positioned to track global hydroclimate variations. Here we evaluate global hydroclimate during the past 2,000 years using a globally distributed compilation of proxies for δprecip, δMW and δSW. We show that global mean surface temperature exerted a coherent influence on global δprecip and δMW throughout the past two millennia, driven by global ocean evaporation and condensation processes, with lower values during the Little Ice Age (1450–1850) and higher values after the onset of anthropogenic warming (~1850). The Pacific Walker Circulation is a predominant source of regional variability, particularly since 1850. Our results demonstrate rapid adjustments in global precipitation and atmospheric circulation patterns—within decades—as the planet warms and cools. |
| publishDate |
2023 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023 2023 2023 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 Postprint info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion |
| format |
article |
| status_str |
acceptedVersion |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/338818 https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85175579933 |
| url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/338818 https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85175579933 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
Inglés |
| language_invalid_str_mv |
Inglés |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature Geoscience https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01291-3 Sí |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature Publishing Group |
| publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature Publishing Group |
| dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC instname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC) |
| instname_str |
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC) |
| reponame_str |
DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC |
| collection |
DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv |
|
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
| _version_ |
1869416817627234304 |
| spelling |
Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millenniaKonecky, Bronwen L.McKay, Nicholas P.Falster, Georgina M.Stevenson, Samantha L.Fischer, Matt J.Atwood, Alyssa R.Thompson, Diane M.Jones, Matthew D.Tyler, Jonathan J.DeLong, Kristine L.Martrat, BelenThomas, Elizabeth K.Conroy, Jessica L.Dee, Sylvia G.Jonkers, LukasChurakova (Sidorova), Olga V.Kern, ZoltánOpel, ThomasPorter, Trevor J.Sayani, Hussein R.Skrzypek, GrzegorzAbram, Nerilie J.Braun, KerstinCarré, MatthieuCartapanis, OlivierComas-Bru, LaiaCurran, Mark A.Dassié, Emilie P.Deininger, MichaelDivine, Dmitry V.Incarbona, AlessandroKaufman, Darrell S.Kaushal, NikitaKlaebe, Robert M.Kolus, Hannah R.Leduc, GuillaumeManagave, Shreyas R.Mortyn, P. GrahamMoy, Andrew D.Orsi, Anais J.Partin, Judson W.Roop, Heidi A.Sicre, Marie Alexandrinevon Gunten, LucienYoshimura, KeiWater cycleTemperature changeGlobal surface temperaturehttp://metadata.un.org/sdg/6http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for allTake urgent action to combat climate change and its impactsThe response of the global water cycle to changes in global surface temperature remains an outstanding question in future climate projections and in past climate reconstructions. The stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope compositions of precipitation (δprecip), meteoric water (δMW) and seawater (δSW) integrate processes from microphysical to global scales and thus are uniquely positioned to track global hydroclimate variations. Here we evaluate global hydroclimate during the past 2,000 years using a globally distributed compilation of proxies for δprecip, δMW and δSW. We show that global mean surface temperature exerted a coherent influence on global δprecip and δMW throughout the past two millennia, driven by global ocean evaporation and condensation processes, with lower values during the Little Ice Age (1450–1850) and higher values after the onset of anthropogenic warming (~1850). The Pacific Walker Circulation is a predominant source of regional variability, particularly since 1850. Our results demonstrate rapid adjustments in global precipitation and atmospheric circulation patterns—within decades—as the planet warms and cools.Iso2k is a contribution to Phase 3 and 4 of the PAGES 2k Network. PAGES received support from the Swiss Academy of Sciences, the US National Science Foundation and the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Support for this work includes NSF-AGS 1805141, NSF-AGS PRF 1433408 and a David and Lucile Packard Foundation Fellowship in Science and Engineering to B.L.K.; NSF-1948746 to N.P.M.; Australian Research Council through a Discovery Project (DP170100557) and the Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes (CE170100023) to G.M.F.; NSF-AGS 1805143 and NSF-OCE-2202794 to S.L.S.; NSF-CAREER 2145725, NSF 2103035 and NSF 2002444 to A.R.A.; NSF-CAREER 1945479, NSF 1931242 and NSF 2002460 to D.M.T.; Australian Research Council Discovery Project DP190102782 to J.J.T.; South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center Cooperative Agreement G19AC00086, NSF-2102931 and NSF-1805702 to K.L.D.; RYC‐2013‐14073 programme and LINKA20102 and CEX2018‐000794‐S projects to B.M.; NSF-EAR PRF 1349595, NSF-EAR-IF 1652274, NSF-OPP 1504267, NSF-OPP 1737716 and NSF-CAREER 2044616 to E.K.T.; NSF-CAREER 1847791 to J.L.C.; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration award number NA18OAR4310427 to S.G.D.; PalMod, the German palaeoclimate modelling initiative, part of the Research for Sustainable Development initiative funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF; 01LP1922A) to L.J.; RSF project 21-17-00006 to O.V.C.(S.); German Research Foundation grants OP217/2-1, OP217/3-1, OP217/4-1 to T.O.; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Discovery Grant RGPIN-2016-06730 to T.J.P.; Australian Research Council Project (LP210300691) to G.S.; Australian Research Council through a Future Fellowship (FT160100029), Special Research Initiative for the Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science (SR200100008) and the Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes (CE170100023) to N.J.A; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Discovery Grant RGPIN-2021-03888 to A.J.O.; and Australian Antarctic Science (AAS) grants 757, 4061, 4062 and 4537 to M.C. and A.M.Peer reviewedNature Publishing Group0000-0003-1647-28650000-0003-3598-51130000-0001-8567-74130000-0002-4052-35490000-0001-6615-65400000-0002-6181-12590000-0001-8116-55680000-0001-8046-02150000-0001-6320-421X0000-0001-9904-91780000-0002-6489-71230000-0003-3652-31990000-0002-2140-785X0000-0002-0253-26390000-0003-4900-25870000-0003-1315-82560000-0002-5916-19980000-0002-5686-2393Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]202320232023info:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Postprintinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionhttp://hdl.handle.net/10261/338818https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85175579933reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSICinstname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)InglésNature Geosciencehttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01291-3Síinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:digital.csic.es:10261/3388182026-05-22T06:33:51Z |
| score |
15,81155 |