Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?

Secession referendums can help to resolve the tension between self-determination and state sovereignty. Nevertheless, not all state governments accept holding such consultations in collaboration with secessionist movements. This article tackles this issue by focusing on the determinants of agreed an...

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Autores: Sanjaume Calvet, Marc, Harguindéguy, Jean-Baptiste, Sánchez Sánchez, Almudena
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:10230/60340
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10230/60340
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2024.2331709
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Sovereignty
Referendum
Independence
Secession
Self-determination
Conflicts
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spelling Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?Sanjaume Calvet, MarcHarguindéguy, Jean-BaptisteSánchez Sánchez, AlmudenaSovereigntyReferendumIndependenceSecessionSelf-determinationConflictsSecession referendums can help to resolve the tension between self-determination and state sovereignty. Nevertheless, not all state governments accept holding such consultations in collaboration with secessionist movements. This article tackles this issue by focusing on the determinants of agreed and non-agreed upon independence referendums. Through a statistical analysis based on a dataset of independence referendums held in liberal democracies from 1945 to 2022 (N = 70), we demonstrate that the decision of the parent state¿s government to agree to an independence referendum depends on two factors. The first is the perception of competition and/or electoral proximity to the referendum demand. The second depends on the expectation of the low cost of an eventual secession -at least in terms of population, area and natural resources. Accordingly, we propose a general model designed to predict the disposition of a liberal democracy to agree to an independence referendum.This work was supported by Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación [grant number PID2021-123861NB-I00].Taylor & Francis2024202420242024info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10230/60340http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2024.2331709reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunyainstname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)InglésDemocratization. 2024;31(7):1564-88info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/3PE/PID2021-123861NB-I00© 2024 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:recercat.cat:10230/603402026-05-29T05:05:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?
title Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?
spellingShingle Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?
Sanjaume Calvet, Marc
Sovereignty
Referendum
Independence
Secession
Self-determination
Conflicts
title_short Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?
title_full Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?
title_fullStr Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?
title_full_unstemmed Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?
title_sort Self-determination vs. state sovereignty. What are the determinants of agreed-upon independence referendums in liberal democracies?
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Sanjaume Calvet, Marc
Harguindéguy, Jean-Baptiste
Sánchez Sánchez, Almudena
author Sanjaume Calvet, Marc
author_facet Sanjaume Calvet, Marc
Harguindéguy, Jean-Baptiste
Sánchez Sánchez, Almudena
author_role author
author2 Harguindéguy, Jean-Baptiste
Sánchez Sánchez, Almudena
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Sovereignty
Referendum
Independence
Secession
Self-determination
Conflicts
topic Sovereignty
Referendum
Independence
Secession
Self-determination
Conflicts
description Secession referendums can help to resolve the tension between self-determination and state sovereignty. Nevertheless, not all state governments accept holding such consultations in collaboration with secessionist movements. This article tackles this issue by focusing on the determinants of agreed and non-agreed upon independence referendums. Through a statistical analysis based on a dataset of independence referendums held in liberal democracies from 1945 to 2022 (N = 70), we demonstrate that the decision of the parent state¿s government to agree to an independence referendum depends on two factors. The first is the perception of competition and/or electoral proximity to the referendum demand. The second depends on the expectation of the low cost of an eventual secession -at least in terms of population, area and natural resources. Accordingly, we propose a general model designed to predict the disposition of a liberal democracy to agree to an independence referendum.
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024
2024
2024
2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10230/60340
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2024.2331709
url http://hdl.handle.net/10230/60340
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2024.2331709
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Democratization. 2024;31(7):1564-88
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/3PE/PID2021-123861NB-I00
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Taylor & Francis
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Taylor & Francis
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
instname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
instname_str Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
reponame_str Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
collection Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
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