Short-run dynamics in bank credit
This paper explores whether the procyclicality of private credit changes during the business cycle. To this end, we rely on the estimation of smooth transition regression models for a sample of 17 OECD countries over the 1986-2010 period. Our findings show that credit procyclicality is nonlinear, de...
| Autores: | , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2014 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
| Repositorio: | Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ddd.uab.cat:324214 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://ddd.uab.cat/record/324214 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2013.10.027 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Credit cycle Business cycle Nonlinearity Smooth transition regression models |
| Sumario: | This paper explores whether the procyclicality of private credit changes during the business cycle. To this end, we rely on the estimation of smooth transition regression models for a sample of 17 OECD countries over the 1986-2010 period. Our findings show that credit procyclicality is nonlinear, depending on economic conditions. More specifically, credit is highly procyclical in extreme - booms and busts - regimes in Canada, the UK and the US, while procyclicality is less pronounced in one or both extreme regimes in Australia, Belgium, France, Finland, the Netherlands, Norway, and Spain. Our results also emphasize the importance of financial factors in explaining the short-run behavior of private credit. |
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