The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia

Up until the end of 2018, extreme right-wing parties and their anti-immigration discourse, now a common occurrence in other European countries, had not appeared on the Spanish political scene. However, in December of that year, the Spanish extreme right-wing party VOX reversed this trend and made si...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Iglesias Pascual, Ricardo, Paloma, Virginia, Benítez, Isabel
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Recursos:Universidad Pablo de Olavide (UPO)
Repositorio:RIO. Repositorio Institucional Olavide
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:rio.upo.es:10433/22593
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/10433/22593
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Anti-immigrant discourse
Census tract
Economic immigrants
Extreme right-wing parties
Out-group size
Territorial concentration
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spelling The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of AndalusiaIglesias Pascual, RicardoPaloma, VirginiaBenítez, IsabelAnti-immigrant discourseCensus tractEconomic immigrantsExtreme right-wing partiesOut-group sizeTerritorial concentrationUp until the end of 2018, extreme right-wing parties and their anti-immigration discourse, now a common occurrence in other European countries, had not appeared on the Spanish political scene. However, in December of that year, the Spanish extreme right-wing party VOX reversed this trend and made significant electoral gains in the Andalusian regional elections. This phenomenon has led us to analyse, in this study, the role played by contextual factors (i.e., out-group size, territorial concentration of the immigrant population, demographic change in settlement locations, aggregated educational level and unemployment rate among the receiving society) in the rise in the number of VOX voters. To achieve this, VOX's results from all the polling stations in Andalusia contained in its 5946 census tracts were analysed. At the same time, each census tract was associated with its demographic, economic and educational data, and their relationship was analysed using a multilevel analysis with Mplus. The results show that the presence of economic immigrants is indeed associated with a higher percentage of VOX voters in Andalusia. However, despite this general trend, those census tracts with a high territorial concentration of Maghrebi immigrants are associated with a lower percentage of support for this extreme right-wing party. The opposite is found for Romanian immigrants. Moreover, areas with larger percentages of people with a high level of education influenced greater support for VOX. Thus our findings suggest the traditional explanations for the increased support for extreme right-wing parties in northern Europe do not provide clear patterns that can be extrapolated to Andalusia.Elsevier20252025-01-2220212021-02-1620212021-02-16journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501AMhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aainfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/10433/22593reponame:RIO. Repositorio Institucional Olavideinstname:Universidad Pablo de Olavide (UPO)Inglésengopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:rio.upo.es:10433/225932026-06-13T12:46:27Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia
title The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia
spellingShingle The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia
Iglesias Pascual, Ricardo
Anti-immigrant discourse
Census tract
Economic immigrants
Extreme right-wing parties
Out-group size
Territorial concentration
title_short The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia
title_full The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia
title_fullStr The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia
title_full_unstemmed The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia
title_sort The role of contextual factors in the electoral resurgence of extreme right-wing forces in Spain: The case of Andalusia
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Iglesias Pascual, Ricardo
Paloma, Virginia
Benítez, Isabel
author Iglesias Pascual, Ricardo
author_facet Iglesias Pascual, Ricardo
Paloma, Virginia
Benítez, Isabel
author_role author
author2 Paloma, Virginia
Benítez, Isabel
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Anti-immigrant discourse
Census tract
Economic immigrants
Extreme right-wing parties
Out-group size
Territorial concentration
topic Anti-immigrant discourse
Census tract
Economic immigrants
Extreme right-wing parties
Out-group size
Territorial concentration
description Up until the end of 2018, extreme right-wing parties and their anti-immigration discourse, now a common occurrence in other European countries, had not appeared on the Spanish political scene. However, in December of that year, the Spanish extreme right-wing party VOX reversed this trend and made significant electoral gains in the Andalusian regional elections. This phenomenon has led us to analyse, in this study, the role played by contextual factors (i.e., out-group size, territorial concentration of the immigrant population, demographic change in settlement locations, aggregated educational level and unemployment rate among the receiving society) in the rise in the number of VOX voters. To achieve this, VOX's results from all the polling stations in Andalusia contained in its 5946 census tracts were analysed. At the same time, each census tract was associated with its demographic, economic and educational data, and their relationship was analysed using a multilevel analysis with Mplus. The results show that the presence of economic immigrants is indeed associated with a higher percentage of VOX voters in Andalusia. However, despite this general trend, those census tracts with a high territorial concentration of Maghrebi immigrants are associated with a lower percentage of support for this extreme right-wing party. The opposite is found for Romanian immigrants. Moreover, areas with larger percentages of people with a high level of education influenced greater support for VOX. Thus our findings suggest the traditional explanations for the increased support for extreme right-wing parties in northern Europe do not provide clear patterns that can be extrapolated to Andalusia.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021
2021-02-16
2021
2021-02-16
2025
2025-01-22
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv journal article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
AM
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/10433/22593
url https://hdl.handle.net/10433/22593
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
language eng
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:RIO. Repositorio Institucional Olavide
instname:Universidad Pablo de Olavide (UPO)
instname_str Universidad Pablo de Olavide (UPO)
reponame_str RIO. Repositorio Institucional Olavide
collection RIO. Repositorio Institucional Olavide
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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