The Determinants of International Football Success: A Panel Data Analysis of the Elo Rating
This paper investigates the determinants of football success at international level. We introduce three innovations as a) we apply the model developed by Bernard and Busse (2004) to football. b) We consider a wide panel of countries over a 33 years period and c) we supplement FIFA's classificat...
| Autores: | , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión aceptada para publicación |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2016 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya) |
| Repositorio: | Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:recercat.cat:2445/102499 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/2445/102499 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Futbol Indicadors econòmics Indicadors socials Producte interior brut Soccer Economic indicators Social indicators Gross domestic product |
| Sumario: | This paper investigates the determinants of football success at international level. We introduce three innovations as a) we apply the model developed by Bernard and Busse (2004) to football. b) We consider a wide panel of countries over a 33 years period and c) we supplement FIFA's classification with the Elo rating system. Our results, which are robust to several sensitivity analyses, show that economics, demographics, weather, geography and football institutions are good indicators of football success at international level. Besides, the Elo rating is a better alternative indicator that the FIFA ranking, and it may be used in the academic works that wish analyse a long period of time. |
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