Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in Buildings

Forecasting the energy consumption of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems is important for the energy efficiency and sustainability of buildings. In fact, conventional models present limitations in these systems due to their complexity and unpredictability. To overcome this, the long...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Mendoza-Pittí, Luis, Calderón-Gómez, Huriviades, Gómez-Pulido, Jose Manuel, Vargas-Lombardo, Miguel, Castillo-Sequera, Jose Luis, Simón de Blas, Clara
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Institución:Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
Repositorio:BURJC-Digital. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
OAI Identifier:oai:burjcdigital.urjc.es:10115/26970
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10115/26970
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:deep learning
forecasting model
HVAC systems
long short-term memory
short-term forecast
daily energy consumption
Descripción
Sumario:Forecasting the energy consumption of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems is important for the energy efficiency and sustainability of buildings. In fact, conventional models present limitations in these systems due to their complexity and unpredictability. To overcome this, the long short-term memory-based model is employed in this work. Our objective is to develop and evaluate a model to forecast the daily energy consumption of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems in buildings. For this purpose, we apply a comprehensive methodology that allows us to obtain a robust, generalizable, and reliable model by tuning different parameters. The results show that the proposed model achieves a significant improvement in the coefficient of variation of root mean square error of 9.5% compared to that proposed by international agencies. We conclude that these results provide an encouraging outlook for its implementation as an intelligent service for decision making, capable of overcoming the problems of other noise-sensitive models affected by data variations and disturbances without the need for expert knowledge in the domain.