Characteristics associated with the perception of high-impact disease (PsAID ≥4) in patients with recent-onset psoriatic arthritis. Machine learning-based model

[EN]To evaluate which patient and disease characteristics are associated with the perception of high-impact disease (PsAID ≥4) in recent-onset psoriatic arthritis. We performed a multicenter observational prospective study (2-year follow-up, regular annual visits). The study population comprised pat...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Queiro, Rubén, Seoane-Mato, Daniel, Laiz, Ana, Galíndez Agirregoikoa, Eva, Montilla Morales, Carlos Alberto, Park, Hye-Sang, Pinto-Tasende, José A., Baute, Juan J. Bethencourt, Ibáñez, Beatriz Joven, Toniolo, Elide, Ramírez, Julio, Serrano García, Ana
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Salamanca (USAL)
Repositorio:GREDOS. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Salamanca
OAI Identifier:oai:gredos.usal.es:10366/161978
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10366/161978
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Arthritis Psoriatic
Quality of life
Predictive model Machine learning
Pain
Perception
Severity of Illness Index
Adult
Humans
Adolescent
Arthritis
3205 Medicina Interna
adulto
humanos
índice de gravedad de la enfermedad
artritis
percepción
adolescente
dolor
Descripción
Sumario:[EN]To evaluate which patient and disease characteristics are associated with the perception of high-impact disease (PsAID ≥4) in recent-onset psoriatic arthritis. We performed a multicenter observational prospective study (2-year follow-up, regular annual visits). The study population comprised patients aged ≥18 years who fulfilled the CASPAR criteria and less than 2 years since the onset of symptoms. The dataset was generated using data for each patient at the 3 visits (baseline, first year, and second year of follow-up) matched with the PsAID values at each of the 3 visits. PsAID was categorized into two groups (<4 and ≥4). We trained a logistic regression model and random forest-type and XGBoost machine learning algorithms to analyze the association between the outcome measure and the variables selected in the bivariate analysis. A k-fold cross-validation with k = 5 was performed. The sample comprised 158 patients. Of the patients who attended the clinic, 45.8% scored PsAID ≥4 at baseline; 27.1%, at the first follow-up visit, and in 23.0%, at the second follow-up visit. The variables associated with PsAID ≥4 were, in decreasing order of importance: HAQ, pain, educational level, and physical activity. Higher HAQ (logistic regression coefficient 10.394; IC95% 7.777,13.011), higher pain (5.668; 4.016, 7.320), lower educational level (-2.064; -3.515, -0.613) and high level of physical activity (1.221; 0.158, 2.283) were associated with a higher frequency of PsAID ≥4. The mean values of the measures of validity of the algorithms were all ≥85%. Despite the higher weight given to pain when scoring PsAID, we observed a greater influence of physical function on disease impact.