Modeling the U.S. Firearms Market: The Effects of Civilian Stocks, Legislation, and Crime

We estimate the first econometric model of the national civilian firearms market in the United States (1946–2016), where per capita firearms-related harm is exceptionally high. Solving simultaneous equation models instrumented by natural disasters and steel prices, and employing unique firearms pric...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: McDougall, Topher L., Montolio, Daniel, Brauer, Jürgen
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
OAI Identifier:oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/217139
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/217139
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Indústria manufacturera
Models economètrics
Armes de foc
Delinqüència
Manufacturing industries
Econometric models
Firearms
Crime
Descripción
Sumario:We estimate the first econometric model of the national civilian firearms market in the United States (1946–2016), where per capita firearms-related harm is exceptionally high. Solving simultaneous equation models instrumented by natural disasters and steel prices, and employing unique firearms prices and quantities data, we find this market operates normally, except that firearms stocks may generate some new market demand in a positive feedback loop. Save for the Federal Assault Weapons Ban (1994–2004), federal firearms legislation does not influence firearms sales. We find that violent crime, including homicide and mass shootings, boosts domestic sales.