Comparing and calibrating discrepancy measures for Bayesian model selection

Different approaches have been considered in the literatur e for the problem of Bayesian model selection. Recently, a new method was introduced and analys ed in De la Horra (2008) by minimizing the posterior expected discrepancy between the set of data and the Bayesian model, where the chi-square di...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Horra, Julián de la, Rodríguez-Bernal, María Teresa
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2012
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2099/13288
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2099/13288
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Mathematical statistics
Bayesian model selection
Discrepancy measure
Calibration
Posterior expected discrepancy
Estadística matemàtica
Classificació AMS::62 Statistics::62F Parametric inference
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística::Estadística matemàtica
Descripción
Sumario:Different approaches have been considered in the literatur e for the problem of Bayesian model selection. Recently, a new method was introduced and analys ed in De la Horra (2008) by minimizing the posterior expected discrepancy between the set of data and the Bayesian model, where the chi-square discrepancy was used. In this article, several discrepancy measures are considered and compared by simulation, and it is obtained th at the chi-square discrepancy is reasonable to use. Then, an easy method for calibrating disc repancies is proposed, and the behaviour of this approach is studied on simulated data. Fin ally, a set of real data is analysed