A new Spatio-Temporal neural network approach for traffic accident forecasting

Traffic accidents forecasting represents a major priority for traffic governmental organisms around the world to ensure a decrease in life, property and economic losses. The increasing amounts of traffic accident data have been used to train machine learning predictors, although this is a challengin...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Medrano López, Rodrigo de
Tipo de recurso: tesis de maestría
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:España
Institución:Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia
Repositorio:e-spacio. Repositorio Institucional de la UNED
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:e-spacio.uned.es:20.500.14468/14564
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14468/14564
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:1203.04 Inteligencia artificial
Descripción
Sumario:Traffic accidents forecasting represents a major priority for traffic governmental organisms around the world to ensure a decrease in life, property and economic losses. The increasing amounts of traffic accident data have been used to train machine learning predictors, although this is a challenging task due to the relative rareness of accidents, inter-dependencies of traffic accidents both in time and space and high dependency on human behavior. Recently, deep learning techniques have shown significant prediction improvements over traditional models, but some difficulties and open questions remain around their applicability, accuracy and ability to provide practical information. This paper proposes a new spatio-temporal deep learning framework based on a latent model for simultaneously predicting the number of traffic accidents in each neighborhood in Madrid, Spain, over varying training and prediction time horizons.