Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times

Despite being labelled as a theory of change, so far, postnormal times theory has only offered a broad explanation of why and how change happens in postnormal times. It has merely stated that it is the joint action of complexity, chaos, and contradictions (the postnormal factors) what prompts postno...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Serra del Pino, Jordi
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:20.500.14342/5321
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14342/5321
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2023.103112
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Postnormal times
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spelling Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal timesSerra del Pino, JordiPostnormal timesDespite being labelled as a theory of change, so far, postnormal times theory has only offered a broad explanation of why and how change happens in postnormal times. It has merely stated that it is the joint action of complexity, chaos, and contradictions (the postnormal factors) what prompts postnormal change, but has not produced a more thorough explanation of its development. This has made postnormal times to be perceived as unavoidable or fated. This article uses the simile of Prometheus, the classic titan, to determine up to which point postnormal times are truly ineluctable. Accepting that the three postnormal factors need to act jointly to cause postnormal change but rises in complexity appear to act as a catalyser. So, to have an operative way to estimate these grows in complexity levels, the article proposes to break down complexity into concurrency and connectivity. Both parameters can be measured much more easily and provide a workable way to measure these rises in complexity. Ultimately, the goal is to develop an approach to better understand postnormal change and to anticipate it. Thus, by improving our capacity to comprehend and foresee postnormal change we will also enhance our capacity to navigate postnormal times.info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionElsevierUniversitat Ramon Llull. Facultat de Comunicació i Relacions Internacionals Blanquerna2023info:eu-repo/semantics/article8 p.http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14342/5321https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2023.103112reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunyainstname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)InglésFutures, vol. 147, 2023© ElsevierAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:recercat.cat:20.500.14342/53212026-05-29T05:05:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times
title Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times
spellingShingle Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times
Serra del Pino, Jordi
Postnormal times
title_short Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times
title_full Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times
title_fullStr Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times
title_full_unstemmed Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times
title_sort Postnormal Prometheus: How to anticipate and navigate postnormal times
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Serra del Pino, Jordi
author Serra del Pino, Jordi
author_facet Serra del Pino, Jordi
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Universitat Ramon Llull. Facultat de Comunicació i Relacions Internacionals Blanquerna
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Postnormal times
topic Postnormal times
description Despite being labelled as a theory of change, so far, postnormal times theory has only offered a broad explanation of why and how change happens in postnormal times. It has merely stated that it is the joint action of complexity, chaos, and contradictions (the postnormal factors) what prompts postnormal change, but has not produced a more thorough explanation of its development. This has made postnormal times to be perceived as unavoidable or fated. This article uses the simile of Prometheus, the classic titan, to determine up to which point postnormal times are truly ineluctable. Accepting that the three postnormal factors need to act jointly to cause postnormal change but rises in complexity appear to act as a catalyser. So, to have an operative way to estimate these grows in complexity levels, the article proposes to break down complexity into concurrency and connectivity. Both parameters can be measured much more easily and provide a workable way to measure these rises in complexity. Ultimately, the goal is to develop an approach to better understand postnormal change and to anticipate it. Thus, by improving our capacity to comprehend and foresee postnormal change we will also enhance our capacity to navigate postnormal times.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14342/5321
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2023.103112
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14342/5321
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2023.103112
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Futures, vol. 147, 2023
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv © Elsevier
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv © Elsevier
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv 8 p.
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
instname:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
instname_str Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
reponame_str Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
collection Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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