Time trends and persistence in the Arctic temperature

Time trends are examined in Arctic temperatures by using a fractionally integrated model. The results indicate that globally, the time trend coefficient is significantly positive and the degree of differentiation is equal to 0.32. Looking at subsamples of 25 years, the time trend is only found to be...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Gil-Alana, L.A. (Luis A.)|||/items/a283ece6-b578-452c-9362-8d1a6255b23c, Carmona-González, N. (Nieves)|||/items/51907710-c9a5-4c7e-a194-062a5a72802e
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Navarra
Repositorio:Dadun. Depósito Académico Digital de la Universidad de Navarra
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:dadun.unav.edu:10171/116761
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10171/116761
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Time trends
Arctic temperatures
Descripción
Sumario:Time trends are examined in Arctic temperatures by using a fractionally integrated model. The results indicate that globally, the time trend coefficient is significantly positive and the degree of differentiation is equal to 0.32. Looking at subsamples of 25 years, the time trend is only found to be significantly positive in the last two subsamples, being particularly high in the final one corresponding to data starting at January 2001. For this period, the degree of integration is also the highest across all subsamples. This result supports the hypothesis that temperatures in the Arctic region have increased in recent years.