Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making
Ideally, decisions regarding one's health should be made after assessing the objective probabilities of relevant outcomes. Nevertheless, previous beliefs and emotional reactions also have a role in decision-making. Furthermore, the comprehension of probabilities is commonly affected by the pres...
| Autores: | , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2018 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universidad de Barcelona |
| Repositorio: | Dipòsit Digital de la UB |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/144502 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/2445/144502 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Presa de decisions (Estadística) Metges Statistical decision Physicians |
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Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-MakingColomé, ÀngelsRodríguez-Ferreiro, JavierTubau Sala, ElisabetPresa de decisions (Estadística)MetgesStatistical decisionPhysiciansIdeally, decisions regarding one's health should be made after assessing the objective probabilities of relevant outcomes. Nevertheless, previous beliefs and emotional reactions also have a role in decision-making. Furthermore, the comprehension of probabilities is commonly affected by the presentation format, and by numeracy. This study aimed to assess the extent to which the influence of these factors might vary between different medical conditions. A sample of university students were presented with two health scenarios containing statistical information on the prevalence of breast cancer and hypertension either through icon arrays (N = 71) or natural frequencies (N = 72). They also received information regarding a preventive measure (mammogram/low-sodium diet) and the likelihood of a positive mammogram or a rich-sodium diet either when suffering or not suffering from the disease. Before seeing the data, participants rated the severity of the disease and the inconvenience of the preventive measure. After reading the health scenario, participants had to rate its difficulty, and how worrisome it was. They had also to rate the prior probability of suffering from this medical condition, and the posterior probability of it, provided a positive mammogram or a rich-sodium diet. Finally, they rated the extent to which they would recommend the preventive measures. All the rates used the same 1 (little)-8 (a great deal) scale. Participants' numeracy was also assessed. The scenarios differed significantly in perceived severity and worry, with the cancer scenario obtaining higher scores. Importantly, regression analyses showed that the recommendations in the two health scenarios depended on different variables. A model taking into consideration severity and worry rates best explained decisions in the cancer scenario; in contrast, in the hypertension scenario the model that best explained the recommendations comprised both the posterior probability estimate and the severity rate. Neither numeracy nor presentation format affected recommendation but both affected difficulty, worrying and probability rates. We conclude that previous perceptions of the severity of a health condition modulate the use of probabilistic information for decision-making. The roles of presentation format and numeracy in enabling patients to understand statistical information are also discussed. IntroductionFrontiers Media2018info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2445/144502Articles publicats en revistes (Cognició, Desenvolupament i Psicologia de l'Educació)reponame:Dipòsit Digital de la UBinstname:Universidad de BarcelonaInglésReproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.01906Frontiers in Psychology, 2018, vol. 9, p. 1906https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.01906cc-by (c) Colomé, Àngels et al., 2018http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/esinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/1445022026-05-27T06:46:51Z |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making |
| title |
Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making |
| spellingShingle |
Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making Colomé, Àngels Presa de decisions (Estadística) Metges Statistical decision Physicians |
| title_short |
Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making |
| title_full |
Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making |
| title_fullStr |
Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making |
| title_sort |
Too Worried to Judge: On the Role of Perceived Severity in Medical Decision-Making |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Colomé, Àngels Rodríguez-Ferreiro, Javier Tubau Sala, Elisabet |
| author |
Colomé, Àngels |
| author_facet |
Colomé, Àngels Rodríguez-Ferreiro, Javier Tubau Sala, Elisabet |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Rodríguez-Ferreiro, Javier Tubau Sala, Elisabet |
| author2_role |
author author |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Presa de decisions (Estadística) Metges Statistical decision Physicians |
| topic |
Presa de decisions (Estadística) Metges Statistical decision Physicians |
| description |
Ideally, decisions regarding one's health should be made after assessing the objective probabilities of relevant outcomes. Nevertheless, previous beliefs and emotional reactions also have a role in decision-making. Furthermore, the comprehension of probabilities is commonly affected by the presentation format, and by numeracy. This study aimed to assess the extent to which the influence of these factors might vary between different medical conditions. A sample of university students were presented with two health scenarios containing statistical information on the prevalence of breast cancer and hypertension either through icon arrays (N = 71) or natural frequencies (N = 72). They also received information regarding a preventive measure (mammogram/low-sodium diet) and the likelihood of a positive mammogram or a rich-sodium diet either when suffering or not suffering from the disease. Before seeing the data, participants rated the severity of the disease and the inconvenience of the preventive measure. After reading the health scenario, participants had to rate its difficulty, and how worrisome it was. They had also to rate the prior probability of suffering from this medical condition, and the posterior probability of it, provided a positive mammogram or a rich-sodium diet. Finally, they rated the extent to which they would recommend the preventive measures. All the rates used the same 1 (little)-8 (a great deal) scale. Participants' numeracy was also assessed. The scenarios differed significantly in perceived severity and worry, with the cancer scenario obtaining higher scores. Importantly, regression analyses showed that the recommendations in the two health scenarios depended on different variables. A model taking into consideration severity and worry rates best explained decisions in the cancer scenario; in contrast, in the hypertension scenario the model that best explained the recommendations comprised both the posterior probability estimate and the severity rate. Neither numeracy nor presentation format affected recommendation but both affected difficulty, worrying and probability rates. We conclude that previous perceptions of the severity of a health condition modulate the use of probabilistic information for decision-making. The roles of presentation format and numeracy in enabling patients to understand statistical information are also discussed. Introduction |
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2018 |
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2018 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
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article |
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publishedVersion |
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https://hdl.handle.net/2445/144502 |
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https://hdl.handle.net/2445/144502 |
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Inglés |
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Inglés |
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Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.01906 Frontiers in Psychology, 2018, vol. 9, p. 1906 https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.01906 |
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cc-by (c) Colomé, Àngels et al., 2018 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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cc-by (c) Colomé, Àngels et al., 2018 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es |
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openAccess |
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Frontiers Media |
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Frontiers Media |
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Articles publicats en revistes (Cognició, Desenvolupament i Psicologia de l'Educació) reponame:Dipòsit Digital de la UB instname:Universidad de Barcelona |
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Universidad de Barcelona |
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